Stat of the Day, 3rd February 2020
Saturday's pick was...
2.40 Musselburgh : Locker Room Talk @ 3/1 BOG 3rd at 5/1 (Led, driven and headed turning in, ridden before 3 out, one pace and no impression when left 3rd next, plugged on)
Monday's pick runs in the...
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Who?
Comeatchoo @ 11/4 BOG
...in a 10-runner, Class 6, A/W Handicap for 3yo over 5f on Tapeta worth £2,782 to the winner...
Why?...
This 3 yr old gelding was a winner last time out over 5f at Kempton nine days ago and now drops in class for the switch to Tapeta.
His trainer Phil McEntee is 18 from 84 (21.4% SR) for 43.2pts (+51.4% ROI) since the start of 2016 and he also has a very good record here at Wolverhampton, especially in handicaps at the sharper end of the market.
In fact, since the start of 2015, Phil's handicappers sent off in the 6/4 to 13/2 price range here are 13 from 44 (29.6% SR) for 31.4pts (+71.3% ROI), including...
- 13/40 (32.5%) for 35.4pts (+88.4%) from males
- 13/34 (38.2%) for 41.4pts (+121.8%) during January to May
- 11/29 (37.9%) for 35pts (+120.6%) after 4-15 days rest
- and 10/35 (28.6%) for 24.2pts (+69%) at Class 6...
...whilst Class 6 males racing in January to April after just 4-15 days rest are 9/15 (60% SR) for 36.1pts (+240.3% ROI), including Pearl Spectre in the 5.30 race this evening...
...but my pick is...a 1pt win bet on Comeatchoo @ 11/4 BOG as was available from Hills, Unibet & Spreadex at 8.35am Monday morning. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...
...click here for the betting on the 6.30 Wolverhampton
Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!
REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!
P.P.S. I'm away for the weekend from lunchtime Friday until Monday afternoon, so whilst I'll do my best to stick to the usual timetable, it might not possible, but there'll definitely be picks from me for Saturday & Monday.
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