Tag Archive for: Sam England

Kinondo Kwetu up for Reynoldstown challenge

Sam England’s Kinondo Kwetu will look to strike a blow for the north in the Bateaux London Reynoldstown Novices’ Chase at Ascot on Saturday.

The seven-year-old has been in phenomenal form since last spring, accumulating a winning streak of six successive victories in novice events – one hurdle race and five steeplechases.

His chasing mark rose from 107 to 137 last year alone, and he is now bringing his consistency to a bigger stage as he steps up to Grade Two level.

“He’s had a little break, he’s back in and the ground has come up good so we thought we’d go and have a bash,” said England.

“It’s a good opportunity, he was running in novices over the summer but this is a completely different depth.

“It’s a different kettle of fish, but we’re going there hopeful that he puts in a good run.

Kinondo Kwetu at Aintree
Kinondo Kwetu at Aintree (Nigel French/PA)

“It depends on how much water they’ve put on it, but he likes quick ground and if it’s good they can’t have put too much on it.”

Nicky Henderson has a runner in Bold Endeavour, a seven-year-old who has won both starts this season and is therefore two from three over fences.

The gelding has displayed a habit of jumping slightly right, a tendency that makes rider Nico de Boinville believe running at a right-handed course will be of benefit.

“He has obviously done brilliantly since joining us and he is now up to a mark of 145 after winning at Doncaster last time,” the rider said via his Unibet blog.

“The way he jumped there suggests this return to a right-handed track will suit him, and he had an earlier win on lively ground at Leicester.

Bold Endeavour ridden by jockey Nico de Boinville
Bold Endeavour ridden by jockey Nico de Boinville (Simon Marper/PA)

“He hopefully has a lot more improvement in him, and I think he is probably the one they all have to beat in here. He does step up in trip again, but I can’t see it being an issue myself.”

In the £100,000 LK Bennett Swinley Handicap Chase, Paul Nicholls is represented by Danny Kirwan, a consistent horse last seen missing out by two lengths over course and distance in the London Gold Cup in October.

The bay has further form at Ascot and his trainer expects the quick conditions to suit, saying: “He’s just been waiting for decent ground and a race like this in the spring, he just ran a bit free that day (last time) and Harry (Cobden) held on to him to save him for the last uphill from turning in the straight. He must have a nice chance.”

Danny Kirwan at Wincanton
Danny Kirwan at Wincanton (David Davies/PA)

Richard Hobson runs Old Roan Chase winner Riders Onthe Storm, a narrow winner in the Aintree race in October before returning to the same track to finish 11th in a handicap contest in early December.

This is a step up in trip for the 10-year-old, who will be ridden by Nick Scholfield.

“Riders Onthe Storm is in fabulous form. He’s fresh and well and it’s just a question of whether he stays the trip,” said Hobson.

“I’ve put cheekpieces on him as I do think he’s holding a little bit back and his form can be a little inconsistent.”

Riders Onthe Storm (right) in the Old Roan Chase
Riders Onthe Storm (right) in the Old Roan Chase (Nigel French/PA)

Elsewhere in the race are Venetia Williams duo Laskalin and Farinet, with Harry Fry also saddling a pair of runners in Phoenix Way and Revels Hill.

Gary Moore’s Dorking Lad, David Pipe’s Neon Moon, Nigel Twiston-Davies’ One True King and Philip Hobbs’ Sporting John are others lining up, with Olly Murphy and Tom Lacey sending off a runner each in The Wolf and Nocte Volatus respectively.

The veteran of the field is Anthony Honeyball’s 15-year-old Regal Encore, winner of the contest in 2018 and a real Ascot specialist. Christian Williams’ Cap Du Nord completes the contenders.

Stat of the Day, 25th February 2020

Monday's pick was...

7.00 Wolverhampton : Reeves @ 9/2 BOG 2nd at 5/1 (Led early, tracked leader, ridden over 1f out, kept on to take 2nd place towards finish) : three runners-up on the bounce for us now!

Tuesday's pick runs in the...

4.45 Catterick :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection between 8.00am and 8.15am and I then add a more detailed write-up later within an hour or so of going "live".

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Mamoo @ 11/2 BOG

...in a 9-runner, Class 4, Handicap Hurdle for 4yo+ over 3m1½f on Heavy ground worth £4,549 to the winner...

Why?...

Similar to yesterday, in that I've little of substance to choose from at the right price, but the shortness of the fav here means we'll get a decent price about this 7 yr old gelding, who has finished 312 in his last three outings, having only gone down by two lengths over course and distance in a stronger/higher class race last time out 25 days ago after winning here again over C&D two starts ago.

He's by Sir Percy, whose offspring are 11 from 50 (22% SR) for 12.78pts (+25.6% ROI) over trips of 3m to 3m5f since the start of 2017, including of relevance here...

  • 10/40 (25%) for 19.27pts (+48.2%) with 5-7 yr olds
  • 9/39 (23.1%) for 15.9pts (+40.8%) over hurdles
  • 5/13 (38.5%) for 15.53pts (+119.5%) during the first quarter of the year
  • and 4/12 (33.3%) for 2.74pts (+22.8%) on soft or heavy ground

He's also running out of a yard that knows how to train stayers, as trainer Sam England's record at 3m1½f to 3m3½f currently stands at 10 from 31 (32.3% SR) for 60.8pts (+196.1% ROI) and these include of note today...

  • 10/28 (35.7%) for 63.8pts (+227.8%) from 6-10 yr olds
  • 10/25 (40%) for 66.8pts (+267.2%) ridden by Jonathan England
  • 9/22 (40.9%) for 52.1pys (+236.6%) from December to April
  • 9/21 (42.9%) for 67.7pts (+322.4%) at 11-45 dslr
  • 8/17 (47.1%) for 26.6pts (+156.5%) at odds of 7/1 and shorter
  • 7/19 (36.8%) for 54.1pts (+284.5%) in fields of 7-10 runners
  • 7/14 (50%) for 22.4pts (+159.8%) after a top 3 finish LTO
  • 5/13 (38.5%) for 25.1pts (+193.3%) over 3m1½f
  • 4/13 (30.8%) for 45.5pts (+350.2%) at Class 4
  • and 4/7 (57.1%) for 13.4pts (+191.3%) here at Catterick, all over today's course and distance...

...whilst Sam + Jonathan + 3m1½f to 3m3½f + 6-10 yr olds + Dec-April + 11/30 dslr + 7/1 max odds = 7 from 11 (63.6% SR) for 29.5pts (+268.3%) and these runners include 6/10 after a top 3 finish LTO, 4/6 at this trip, 4/5 here at Catterick (all over C&D) and 1/1 at Class 4. Those 11 also include Ask Paddy who is currently (8.50am) priced at 11/4 BOG to win the previous 4.15 race on this card...  

...but my selection is...a 1pt win bet on Mamoo @ 11/2 BOG as was available from Bet365, Betfair, Paddy Power & Unibet at 8.00am Tuesday,but as always please check your BOG status. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 4.45 Catterick

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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!