Tag Archive for: free horse racing trends

Sat TV Trends: 14th March 2020

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It's always a bit quiet this weekend with the Cheltenham hangovers, but there is still ITV Racing to take in with the cameras heading to Uttoxeter, with the Midlands National the feature, while they are also at Kempton Park.

As always, we are  on hand with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races. Use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Uttoxeter Horse Racing Trends

2.25 - 1834 Novices' Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV

13/16 – Aged 8 or younger
13/16 – Carried 10-9 or more
11/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
10/16 – Had won over at least 3m (chases) before
10/16 – Placed last time out
10/16 – Never raced at Uttoxeter before
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Returned 7/1 or less
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Aged 7 years-old
5/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Alan King
2/16 – Trained by Harry Fry (two of last three runnings)
2/16 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/16 – Winning favourites
De Rasher Counter (4/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

3.00 - Burton Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

Only 8 Previous Runnings
7/8 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
6/8 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
3/8 – Winning favourites
3/8 – Aged 8 years-old
Poker Play (16/1) won the race in 2019

 

3.35 - Marston's 61 Deep Midlands Grand National Chase Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 4m1f110y ITV

15/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
14/16 – Carried 10-12 or less
14/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/16 – Won by an Irish bred horse
12/16 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before
12/16 – Unplaced favourites
11/16 – Officially rated 135 or less
10/16 – Carried 10-9 or less
10/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Returned a double-figure-price in the betting
8/16 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Trained by David Pipe
3/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 11.6/1

 

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends

 

2.40 – Paddy Power Silver Plate Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m5f ITV

Only 6 previous runnings
Nicky Henderson has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
No winning favourite yet from the last 6 runnings
5 of last 6 previous winners carried 11-12 or more
Wicked Willy (20/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

3.15 – Paddy Power Silver Bowl (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

Only 6 previous running
1 winning favourite (co) from the last 6 runnings
5 of the last 6 winners carried 11-2 or more
Trainers Charlie Longsdon, Venetia William, Tom George, Ian Williams, Paul Nicholls, Tom George and Jonjo O’Neill have won the race so far
Forth Bridge (7/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 15th Feb 2020

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With the equine flu situation now over, racing is back and it's back with a bang!

With the ITV cameras covering some of last week's lost races we've now 10 contests to take in from Ascot, Haydock, Wincanton and even  heading over to Ireland for the Red Mills Chase at Gowran Park.

So, to help narrow down the fields, and point you in the direction of a few winners, then we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – we hope they help!

 

ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (ATR/ITV)

1.50 - Sodexo Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV4

17/17 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
15/17 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
14/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Won last time out
10/17 – Irish bred
10/17 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/17 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (2 winners)
9/17 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the RSA Chase
8/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/17 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill

Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

 

2.25 – Keltbray Swinley Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV4

Only 9 previous runnings
9/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Finished 5th or better last time out
8/9 – Aged 8 or older
7/9 – Won 1 or 2 chase races previously
7/9 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
6/9 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
6/9 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
5/9 – Aged in double-figures
4/9 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
3/9 – Winning distance head or shorter
2/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Winning Favourites
5 of the last 7 winners carried 11-0 or more
Regal Encore won the race in 2018 and was third in 2019.

 

3.00 Give The Gift Of Ascot Annual Membership Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3 1/2f ITV4

13/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
12/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 1/2 or less
9/14 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
9/14 – Had won over 2m4f or further before
8/14 – Carried 10-12 or less
8/14 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/14 – Winners that went onto race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/14 – Placed favourites
6/14 – Priced 9/1 or bigger
6/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/14 – Irish bred
5/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/14 – Had run at Ascot over hurdles before
3/14 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
3/14 – Raced at Sandown last time out
2/14 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls

 

3.35 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV4

17/17 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
16/17– Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
15/17 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
14/17 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
14/17 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
13/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
13/17 – Favourites placed
13/17 – Officially rated 157 or higher
11/17 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
11/17 – Favourites that won
8/17 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
7/17 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/17 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
6/17 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
6/17 – Won their last race
5/17 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (1 winner, Cue Card) later that year
3/17 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/17 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Trained by Alan King
2/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
10 of the last 13 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park
Waiting Patiently won this race in 2018, Cyrname won the race in 2019

 

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4)

2.05 – Unibet Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV4

16/17 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
11/17 – Rated 145 or higher
11/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
11/17 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
10/17 – Aged 8 or younger
10/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
8/17 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle (no winners)
8/17 – Had run at Haydock before
6/17 – French-bred
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
1/17 – Winning favourites
1/17 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival

Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park

 

3.15 – Unibet Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV4

17/17 – UK-based trained winners
17/17 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
15/17 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
14/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/17 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
14/17 – Aged 10 or younger
13/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
13/17 – Rated 135 or higher
12/17 – Aged 9 or younger
12/17 – Finished in the top two last time out
11/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/17 – Carried 11-0 or less
9/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
7/17 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
7/17 – Irish-bred winners
4/17 – Winners that won by exactly 15 lengths
4/17 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/17 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/17 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Venetia Williams
4 of the last 5 winners returned 8/1 in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 10/1

 

WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4)

 

2.45 - Betway Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y ITV4

16/16 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
15/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/16 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
14/16 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
12/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
12/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
9/16 – Rated 155 or higher
8/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Raced at Sandown last time out
4/16 – Trained by Alan King
1/16 – Winners that went onto win the World Hurdle (Inglis Drever)

 

GOWRAN PARK TRENDS

2.54 – Red Mills Chase (Grade 2) 2m4f

11/11 – Had won over at least 2m4f (Chase) before
11/11 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
10/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Irish bred
8/11 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Aged 8 or younger
8/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/11 – Winning favourites
6/11 – Rated 150 or lower
4/11 – Raced at Thurles last time out
3/11 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/11 – Ridden by Paul Townend

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th Feb 2020

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We’ve plenty more Cheltenham Festival clues on offer this weekend with cracking cards at both Newbury and Warwick. The Denman Chase, Betfair Hurdle and Betfair Exchange Chase (Game Spirit) are the feature races at Newbury, while the ITV cameras also head to Warwick.

As always we've got all the ITV LIVE races covered for you key trends and top tips.

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


1.50 - Betfair In-Play Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m52y ITV4

13/14 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
12/14 – Had run within the last 10 weeks
10/14 – Had won over at least 2 ½ miles (hurdles) before
10/14 – Aged 7 or younger
10/14 – Carried 10-13 or more
10/14 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
9/14 – Unplaced last time out
9/14 – Carried 11-0 or more
7/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/14 – Aged 7 years-old
6/14 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/14 – Had run over hurdles at Newbury before (no winners)
3/14 – French bred
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Raced at Haydock last time out

 

2.25 – Win Bigger On The Betfair Exchange Chase (Registered as The Game Spirit Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m92y ITV4

14/14 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Placed favourites
13/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Winners went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (3 winners)
11/14 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
11/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
10/14 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Had raced at Newbury (fences) before (5 winners)
6/14 – French bred
6/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/14 – Ran at Sandown last time out
4/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
4/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Champion Chase
2/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/14 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Arkle Chase
Altior has won the last two renewals (2017 & 2018)

Note: The 2019 running was staged at Ascot


3.00 - Betfair Denman Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

14/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences (UK) before
14/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Rated 150+
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Aged 8 or younger
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (4 winners)
10/16 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time out
10/16 – Had won over fences at Newbury before
7/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Irish bred
6/16 – French bred
5/16 – Winning distance – ¾ length or less
4/16 – Winners that went onto win the Gold Cup (Coneygree, Denman, Kauto Star & Native River)
3/16 – Returned a double-figure price
3/16 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
7 of the last 13 winners were aged 7 years-old
The average SP in the last 13 runnings is 3/1

Note: 2009 running was staged at Kempton and the 2019 running staged at Ascot

 

3.35 – Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

17/17 – Carried 11-8 or less in weight
16/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/17 – Rated 130 or higher
14/17 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
14/17 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
14/17 – Came from the first 7 in the betting
14/17 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/17 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/17 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
12/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
9/17 – Came from the top 5 in the betting
8/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/17 – Irish bred
7/17 – Aged 5 years-old (including 7 of last 13)
7/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 5 times in all)
3/17 – Trained by Gary Moore
3/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (3 of last 6)
2/17  - Raced at Leopardstown last time out
2/17 – Owned by JP McManus
1/17 – Went onto win the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
22 of the last 23 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 13/1

 

WARWICK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Kingmaker Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

9/9 – Aged 7 or younger
8/9 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
8/9 – Won over 2m fences before
7/9 – Had won no more than twice (fences) in the UK
7/9 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Rated between 137-147
5/9 – Aged 5 or 7 years-old
5/9 – Won last time out
4/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Unplaced favs
4 of the last 5 winners have been 6 year-olds

Note: 2009 renewal was at Sandown

2.40 – St Mary’s Lands Warwick Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

Just 5 previous running
5/5 – Aged 6 or 7 years old
5/5 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
4/5 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
3/5 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
3/5 – Rated between 141 and 149
3/5 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
2/5 – Winning favourites
2/5 – Irish bred
2/5 – Had run at Warwick before
Trainer Willie Mullins has won 2 of the last 5 runnings

3.15 – Warwick Castle Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4f ITV4

9/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Irish (3) or French (6) bred
8/9 – Aged 9 or younger
8/9 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
7/9 – Favourites that finished in the top three
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
7/9 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
7/9 – Unplaced in their last race
7/9 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
5/9 – Carried 11-0 or more
3/9 – Winning favourites (1 joint)

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st Feb 2020

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Sandown, Musselburgh and Wetherby provide the LIVE ITV action this Saturday with seven races spread across the three venues.

As always, we got it all covered with all the key trends – use these stats to help find the best past winning profiles to help whittle down the runners and hopefully pin-point a few winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.15 – Betway Casino Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f119y RTV

13/13 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
13/13 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
12/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
10/13 – Aged 9 or younger
10/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
7/13 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/13 – Had run over fences at Sandown before (3 won)
6/13 – Winners that went to race in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase
5/13 – Carried 10-10 or less
5/13 – Raced at Sandown last time out
5/13 – Came from outside the top 4 in the betting
4/13 – Aged 7 years-old
5/13 – French bred
4/13 – Had an official rating of exactly 125
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/13 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
2/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

1.50 – Betway Contenders Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

9/9 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/9 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
9/9 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
8/9 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – French bred
6/9 – Won between 2-5 times (hurdles)
6/9 – Winning favourites
6/9 – Rated 161 or higher
6/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
5/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
3/9 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls

 

 

2.25 – Betway Scilly Isles Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

16/16 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/16 – Won no more than 3 times over fences before
16/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
14/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Defi Du Seuil JLT Novices’ Chase)
10/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/16 – Winning favourites
10/16 – French bred
6/16 – Aged 7 years-old
6/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/16 – Had run over fences at Sandown before
4/16 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 5 in the RSA Chase
4/16 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob (4 of last 5 winners)
4/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty

 


3.00 – Betway Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m7f98y ITV

14/14 – Had run in the last 8 weeks
14/14 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
13/14 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
12/14 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/14 – Officially rated 135 or lower
11/14 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles previously
10/14 – Winners that went to race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
9/14 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
9/14 – Priced 13/2 or less
9/14 – Won by a horse aged 7 or younger
9/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/14 – Favourites placed
5/14 – Favourites that won
4/14 – Raced over hurdles at Sandown previously (3 won)
4/14 – Won their last race
4/14 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/14 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/14 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/14 – Won by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/14 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/14 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Ryanair Chase, 2007 Taranis)

3.35 – Betway Masters Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y ITV

15/16 – Carried 11-5 or less
14/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Aged 9 or younger
11/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before
11/16 – Rated 136 or lower
9/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/16 – Placed last time out
9/16 – Irish-bred
8/16 – Had raced at Sandown before (4 won)
7/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/16 – Raced at either Sandown (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/16 – French-bred
3/16 – Winners that went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
2/16 – Trained by Lucy Wadham (2 of last 6)
2/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams (2 of last 6)

Wetherby Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.45 – William Hill Towton Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

13/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
11/14 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/14 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
10/14 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
9/14 – Aged 7 years-old
9/14 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6th or better)
2/14 – Trained by Ian Williams

 

Musselburgh Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


2.05 - bet365 Scottish County Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f124y ITV4

11/12 – Returned 15/2 or less in the betting
10/12 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
11/12 – Had won over this trip before (hurdles)
9/12 – Aged 6 years-old
8/12 – Former flat horses
8/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/12 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/12 – Rated between 120-130
7/12 – Favourites placed in the top 4
2/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Won last time out

 

3.15 – bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase Cl2 4m176y ITV4

Only two previous runnings
2/2 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
2/2 – Priced between 6/1 and 10/1 in the betting
0/2 – Winning favourites
Trainer Sandy Thompson won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 60% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tim Vaughan has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Sandy Thompson has a 26% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Full Jack won the race in 2018
Dancing Shadow (6/1) won the race in 2017

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 11th Jan 2020

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More LIVE ITV racing action this Saturday as the cameras head to Warwick for the Classic Chase, plus they are also at Kempton Park with the Lanzarote Hurdle their main event.

As normal we are on-hand with all the key stats for the LIVE ITV races – hopefully they might help point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Unibet Silviniaco Conti Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Placed 2nd or 3rd last time out
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
5/6 – Had won at least 4 times over fences
5/6 – Winning favourites
5/6 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
3/6 – Had won over fences at the track
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 5/2
Top Notch won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2019, 2017 & 2016
Trainer Alan King won the race in 2015
Trainer Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014
Nicky Henderson has a 37% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track

 

2.40 – Unibet Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

18/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
16/18 – Aged 7 or younger
16/18 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
14/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had won exactly 2 times over hurdles before
13/18 – Had never won a hurdles race over 2m4f or longer before
13/18 – Winning distance 3 lengths or less
13/18 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
12/18 – Irish (7) or French (5) bred
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Carried 10-11 or less
11/18 – Aged 6 years-old
9/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Had run at Kempton before (5 won)
5/18 -  Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Nick Williams
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (38 runnings) 33 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

 

3.15 – Try Unibet New Uniboosts Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

Just 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Had run at the track before
6/7 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
6/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
5/7 – Unplaced last time out
5/7 – Carried 11-0 or more
5/7 – Placed favourites
4/7 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
4/7 - Won between 2-4 times (fences) before
2/7 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 is 9/2
Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014 & 2016

 

Warwick Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)


1.50 – McCoy Contractors 2020 Construction News Award Finalist Hampton Novices´ Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

12/12 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had won between 0-2 times over fences
12/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/12 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
10/12 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences
10/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/12 – Aged 7 years-old
8/12 – Had won over 3m (or further) chase
8/12 – Won last time out
7/12 – Returned 9/4 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Irish bred
2/12 – Trained by Alan King
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 11/4

 

2.25 – Ballymore Leamington Novices´ Hurdle Grade 2 Cl1 2m5f ITV4

13/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
13/13 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
13/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
9/13 – Irish bred
8/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
6/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Aged 5 years-old
2/13 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 5)
2/13 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (No Refuge, 2005 RSA Novices’ Hurdle, The New One, 2013 Neptune)
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 10/3

 

3.00 – McCoy Constructors Civil Engineering Classic Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m5f ITV4

14/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m
11/14 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
11/14 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
10/14 – Officially rated between 129-140
10/14 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
9/14 –  Won by a horse aged 9 or older
9/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
9/14 – Won by an Irish bred horse
8/14 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
8/14 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase, NH Flat) previously
8/14 –  Placed in the top 3 in their last race
7/14 – Favourites placed
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price
6/14 – Had run at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
5/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (One For Arthur won both races in 2017)
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Won their last race
2/14 – Trained by Alan King
Impulsive Star (8/1) won the race in 2019
Milansbar (12/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 11/1

 

3.35 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 3m1f ITV4

14/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
13/14 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles before
12/14 – Carried 11-0 or less
12/14 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/14 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
10/14 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Pertemps Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
11/14 – Had never raced over hurdles at Warwick before
11/14 – Officially rated between 126-142
11/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Placed favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Ran at Bangor last time out
2/14 – Won by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/14 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/14 – Winning favourites
8 of the last 9 winners were aged 8 or younger
4 of the last 6 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 8/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 21st Dec 2019

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It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.

So, to help you narrow down the fields and hopefully point you in the direction of a winner or two, here at GeeGeez we've got the big-race trends ahead of each race.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)


1.50 – Plymouth Gin Handicap Chase Cl2 2m3f ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
Trainers Paul Nicholls, Ian Williams, Robert Walford and Harry Fry were past winners
No winning favourite in 4 runnings
3 of the last 4 winners carried 10-10 or more
All winners returned between 6/1 and 10/1
All winners aged between 4-7 years-old
Mr Medic won the race in 2017


2.25 – Marsh Hurdle (Registered as The Long Walk Hurdle) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

17/17 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
17/17 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s World Hurdle (6 won, 4 runners-up)
15/17 – Placed in the top three in their last race
14/17 – Favourites placed
14/17 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
12/17 – French-bred horse
12/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
12/17 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
12/17 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
10/17 – Raced at Newbury last time out
10/17 – Won their last race
9/17 – Favourites that won
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/17 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
2/17 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
2/17 – Ridden by jockey Tom Scudamore
Paisley Park won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

Note:
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004  running -Windsor


3.00 – Dave Dawes Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/14 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
9/14 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
9/14 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
8/14 – Won by a French bred horse
8/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/14 – Raced at Ascot previously
7/14 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
7/14 – Favourites placed
6/14 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
5/14 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Ascot (2) last time out
5/14 – Aged 7 years-old
5/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/14 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Trained by Henry Daly
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (last 2 runnings)
2/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty (2 of the last 5)
Regal Encore (20/1) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 10/1
Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

 

3.35 – Betfair Exchange Trophy Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
16/16 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
15/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
13/16 – Had raced within the last 2 months
11/16 – Carried 10-10 or more
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
9/16 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
7/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Winning favourites
Mohaayed won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 12/1

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)


2.40 – Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

12/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/12 – Failed to win their last race
10/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/12 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
8/12 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
8/12 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
7/12 – Favourites placed
6/12 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
3/12 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
3/12 – French bred
3/12 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (all unplaced)
3/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/12 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
7 of the last 11 winners carried 11-0 or more
Daklondike won the race in 2018

 

3.15 – Sir Charles Napier Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m2f191y ITV

12/12 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Aged 7 or younger
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
9/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/12 – Placed favourites
8/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/12 – Had won 1-3 times over hurdles before
7/12 – Ran at either Newbury (2) or Haydock (5) last time out
7/12 – Had raced at Haydock before
6/12 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
5/12 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
5/12 – Winning Favourites
4/12 – French bred
2/12 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
3 of the last 8 runnings were won by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 4/1

 

 

 

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Boxing Day TV Trends: 26th Dec 2019

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A huge day on Boxing Day with eight domestic horse racing fixtures, but the festive highlight, as racing resumes after a two-day break, is the King George VI Meeting at Kempton Park.

The King George VI  Chase is of course the feature race on the day as punters will look to get their Christmas expenses paid for – a race in recent years we’ve seen horse racing greats like Kauto Star, Long Run, Best Mate, Kicking King, One Man and, more recently, Thistlecrack & Might Bite, landing the prize. Did you know - 13 of the last 17 King George winners were aged 8 or younger?

We take a look at each race on the Kempton card, plus the Rowland Meyrick Chase from Wetherby and highlight the main trends – hopefully this will help you narrow down the fields and point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

12:50 – 32Red Casino Mobile Novices' Hurdle Race 2m

12/12 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
11/12 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
10/12 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Had won a NH Flat race before
9/12 – Winning distance 3 lengths or more
7/12 – Won just once over hurdles before
7/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
4/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
Mister Fisher (7/2) won the race 12 months ago

 

1.20 – 32Red.com Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Chase Cl3 2m4f110y ITV

15/15 – Aged 7 or younger
14/15 – Had won between 0-1 times over fences in the UK
13/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/15 – Placed favourites (1 joint)
8/15 – Officially rated between 119 and 125
7/15 – Carried 11-6 or more
6/15 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/15 – Won by a French bred horse
5/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/15 – Raced at Kempton last time out
Glen Forsa (7/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

1.55 – 32RedKauto Star Novices´ Chase (In memory of Nigel Clark) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

16/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Placed in the top two last time out
12/16 – Won last time out
12/16 – French (7) or Irish (5) bred
11/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
11/16 – Aged 6 or younger
11/16 – Had won at least 2 times over fences in the UK
10/16 – Went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (no winners)
10/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Aged 6 years-old
8/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Had won (chase) over at least 3m before
8/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Trained by David Pipe
2/16 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
1/16 – French trained
1/16 – Went onto run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup (One winner - Coneygree 2015)
La Bague Au Roi (8/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

2.30 – Unibet Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

15/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/17 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
14/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Went onto run in the Champion Hurdle (Faughan (2015) & Buveur D’Air (2018) winners)
10/17 – Won last time out
9/17 – Winning favourites
9/17 – Went onto finish in the top 5 in the Champion Hurdle that season
8/17 – Irish trained
8/17 – Ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) last time out
8/17 – Had run over hurdles at Kempton before
6/17 – French bred
6/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/17 – Trained by Noel Meade
2/17 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/17 – Trained by Willie Mullins
Verdana Blue (11/2) won the race 12 months ago

 

3.05 – 32Red King George VI Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

16/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Had won a Grade One chase before
15/17 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/17 – French (11) or Irish bred (4)
14/17 – Placed favourites
14/17 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
13/17 – Officially rated 169 or higher
13/17 – Aged 8 or younger
11/17 – Winning favourites
11/17 – Won last time out
10/17 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
10/17 – Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
9/17 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (10 times in all)
7/17 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/17 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/17 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 3 in the last 33 runnings)
Colin Tizzard and Nicky Henderson have trained 5 of the last 9 winners (2 Tizzard, 3 Henderson)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 4/1

 

15:40 – 32Red Download The App Handicap Hurdle Race 2m5f

 

12/12 – Won no more than 3 times (UK Hurdles)
11/12 – Aged 6 or younger
10/12 – Won between 0-2 times hurdles (UK)
10/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/12 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
8/12 – Officially rated 120-129
8/12 – Ran 5 or less weeks ago
8/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
6/12 – French bred
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Erick Le Rouge (7/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.10- Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m45y ITV

10/11 – Aged 8 or younger
10/11 – Had won 3 or less times over fences (UK)
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
9/11 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
8/11 – Had raced at Wetherby before
7/11 – Unplaced in their last race
7/11 – Had won over 3m (chase) before
6/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Raced at either Haydock (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
2/11– Winning favourites
Lake View Lad won the race 12 months ago

 

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