Sat TV Trends: 1st Feb 2020

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Sandown, Musselburgh and Wetherby provide the LIVE ITV action this Saturday with seven races spread across the three venues.

As always, we got it all covered with all the key trends – use these stats to help find the best past winning profiles to help whittle down the runners and hopefully pin-point a few winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.15 – Betway Casino Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f119y RTV

13/13 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
13/13 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
12/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
10/13 – Aged 9 or younger
10/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
7/13 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/13 – Had run over fences at Sandown before (3 won)
6/13 – Winners that went to race in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase
5/13 – Carried 10-10 or less
5/13 – Raced at Sandown last time out
5/13 – Came from outside the top 4 in the betting
4/13 – Aged 7 years-old
5/13 – French bred
4/13 – Had an official rating of exactly 125
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/13 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
2/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

1.50 – Betway Contenders Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

9/9 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/9 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
9/9 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
8/9 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – French bred
6/9 – Won between 2-5 times (hurdles)
6/9 – Winning favourites
6/9 – Rated 161 or higher
6/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
5/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
3/9 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls

 

 

2.25 – Betway Scilly Isles Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

16/16 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/16 – Won no more than 3 times over fences before
16/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
14/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Defi Du Seuil JLT Novices’ Chase)
10/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/16 – Winning favourites
10/16 – French bred
6/16 – Aged 7 years-old
6/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/16 – Had run over fences at Sandown before
4/16 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 5 in the RSA Chase
4/16 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob (4 of last 5 winners)
4/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty

 


3.00 – Betway Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m7f98y ITV

14/14 – Had run in the last 8 weeks
14/14 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
13/14 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
12/14 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/14 – Officially rated 135 or lower
11/14 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles previously
10/14 – Winners that went to race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
9/14 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
9/14 – Priced 13/2 or less
9/14 – Won by a horse aged 7 or younger
9/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/14 – Favourites placed
5/14 – Favourites that won
4/14 – Raced over hurdles at Sandown previously (3 won)
4/14 – Won their last race
4/14 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/14 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/14 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/14 – Won by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/14 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/14 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Ryanair Chase, 2007 Taranis)

3.35 – Betway Masters Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y ITV

15/16 – Carried 11-5 or less
14/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Aged 9 or younger
11/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before
11/16 – Rated 136 or lower
9/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/16 – Placed last time out
9/16 – Irish-bred
8/16 – Had raced at Sandown before (4 won)
7/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/16 – Raced at either Sandown (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/16 – French-bred
3/16 – Winners that went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
2/16 – Trained by Lucy Wadham (2 of last 6)
2/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams (2 of last 6)

Wetherby Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.45 – William Hill Towton Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

13/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
11/14 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/14 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
10/14 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
9/14 – Aged 7 years-old
9/14 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6th or better)
2/14 – Trained by Ian Williams

 

Musselburgh Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


2.05 - bet365 Scottish County Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f124y ITV4

11/12 – Returned 15/2 or less in the betting
10/12 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
11/12 – Had won over this trip before (hurdles)
9/12 – Aged 6 years-old
8/12 – Former flat horses
8/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/12 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/12 – Rated between 120-130
7/12 – Favourites placed in the top 4
2/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Won last time out

 

3.15 – bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase Cl2 4m176y ITV4

Only two previous runnings
2/2 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
2/2 – Priced between 6/1 and 10/1 in the betting
0/2 – Winning favourites
Trainer Sandy Thompson won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 60% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tim Vaughan has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Sandy Thompson has a 26% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Full Jack won the race in 2018
Dancing Shadow (6/1) won the race in 2017

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 25th Jan 2020

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Another massive day of horse racing this Saturday with 'Trials Day' up at Cheltenham – their last meeting before the Festival in March. Therefore, plenty more clues to be had, including top races like the Cleeve Hurdle and Cotswold Chase.

The ITV cameras are also heading to Doncaster to take in the best of their action, including the ultra-competitive SkyBet Chase – a race the Alan King yard have twice in the last four years.

As always, we got it all covered with all the key trends – use these stats to help find the best past winning profiles to help whittle down the runners and hopefully pin-point a few winners.

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)


12.40 – JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (A Juvenile Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f RacingTV

14/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Had previously won at least once over hurdles in the UK
10/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the market
9/16 – Winning distance – 2 ¼ lengths or less
9/16 – French bred (including last 7 winners)
8/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/16 – Went onto be placed in that season’s Triumph Hurdle (3 winners, Defi Du Seuil  2017, Peace & Co 2015, Katchit 2007)
5/16 – Had raced at Cheltenham previously
4/16 – Trained by Alan King
4/16 – Priced 25/1, 50/1 or 100/1
3/16 – Won by a German bred horse
3/16 – Won by an Irish bred horse
Nicky Henderson has trained 4 of the last 7 winners
The last three winners have been owned by JP McManus

2019 Winner: FAKIR D’OUDAIRIES (J O’Brien) 4/1


13.15 – Timeform Novices´ Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f RacingTV

16/16 – Aged 8 or younger
15/16 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (2 winners, La Landiere Cathcart 2003, Close Brothers Novices’ Chase, Mister Whitaker 2018)
15/16 – Won between 0-2 races over fences in the UK previously
14/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Finished either 1st or 2nd last time out
13/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) in the UK previously
12/16 – Priced 13/2 or shorter
12/16 – Rated 128 or higher
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
8/16 – Carried 11-2 or more
7/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Ran at Kempton last time out
5/16 – French bred
3/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/16 – Won with 11-12 in weight
2/16 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/16 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
1/16 – Winning favourites (none in the last 10 runnings)

2019 Winner: KILDSART (B Pauling) 9/2

 

1.50 – Paddy Power 45 Sleeps To Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase (A Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m 41/2f ITV

14/16 – Had won over at least 2m5f (fences) previously
14/16 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
14/16 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
14/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/16 – Rated 130 or higher
13/16 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
11/16 – Aged 8 or older
11/16 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (7 won)
12/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner – Siruh Du Lac)
9/16 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Carried 10-7 or less
5/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Won by the Hobbs yard

2019 Winner: SIRUH DU LAC (N Williams) 6/1

 

2.25 – Paddy Power Cotswold Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV

16/16 – Officially rated 151 or higher
15/16 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
15/16 – Ran at Cheltenham over fences before (9 had won)
15/16 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
13/16 – Won between 2-6 times over fences
11/16 – Went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (no winners, but all placed 8th or better)
11/16 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
11/16 – Ran at either Wetherby (3), Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time
11/16 – Priced 7/1 or less
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
7/16 – Unplaced last time out
7/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the market
6/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard (5 wins in total)
2/16 – Won by the Oliver Sherwood yard
1/16 – Went onto win the Grand National (Many Clouds, 2015)
0/16 – Favourites
10 of the last 12 winners were aged 9 or 10 years-old
Looks Like Trouble (2000) was the last winner to go onto win the Cheltenham Gold Cup

2019 Winner: FRODON (P Nicholls) 9/4

 

3.00 – Ballymore Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 2m4f110y ITV4

14/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
13/14 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
12/14 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
12/14 – Winners that later raced at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (3 winners)
11/14 – Favourites placed
11/14 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
11/14 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
11/14 – Won their latest race
10/14 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
9/14 – Priced 7/2 or less
8/14 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
5/14 – Favourites that won
4/14 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/14 – Raced at Newbury last time out
4/14 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/14 – Won by the Alan King stable
3/14 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
3/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty

2019 Winner: BIRCHDALE (N Henderson) 2/1

 

3.35 – galliardhomes.com Cleeve Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV

14/15 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
14/15 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
14/15 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
13/15 – Raced at Cheltenham (hurdles) previously
12/15 – Went to run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (5 won)
12/15 – Officially rated 154 or higher
11/15 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 4 in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/15 – Finished either 1st or 2nd in their last race
9/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
8/15 – Won their latest race
7/15 – Favourites that won
6/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/15 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable

Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown

2019 Winner: PAISLEY PARK (E Lavelle) 10/3

 

4.10 - Steel Plate And Sections Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 2) (4yo+) Soft 2m1f RacingTV


15/15 – Rated 120 or higher
14/15 – Had raced within the last 9 weeks
13/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
12/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
11/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner La Fontana)
8/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
8/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or less
5/15 – French bred
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
10 of the last 11 winners carried 10-12 or less in weight

2019 Winner: BENNY’S BRIDGE (F O’Brien) 8/1

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

2.05 – Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The River Don Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m110y ITV

10 previous runnings
10/10 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
9/10 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or less
9/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/10 – Won last time out
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Had raced at Doncaster before
3/10 – Winning favourite
The last 8 winners were all aged 5 or 6 years-old

2019 Winner: NADAITAK (B Pauling) 12/1

 

2.40 - Yorkshire Rose Mares´ Hurdle (Registered as The Doncaster Mares´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y ITV

9 previous runnings
9/10 – Aged 8 or younger
9/10 – Had won over this trip before
9/10 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Went onto run in the Mares’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/10 – Won between 1-3 times before (hurdles)
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 - Winning favourites

2019 Winner: LADY BUTTONS (P Kirby) Evs fav

 

3.15 – Sky Bet Chase (A Handicap) (formerly The Great Yorkshire Chase) (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (5yo+ 0-155) CH4 3m ITV

13/14 – Had won between 0-3 times over fences before
12/14 – Carried 11-2 or less
12/14 – Aged 9 or younger
11/14 – Officially rated 130 or higher
11/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Carried 10-12 or less
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/14 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 9/1

Note: The 2007 running was staged at Southwell

Other Stats:
4 of the last 13 winners of this race went onto contest the William Hill Trophy (now JLT Chase) at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner)
5 of the last 13 winners went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners, all unplaced)

2019 Winner: GO CONQUER (N Twiston-Davies) 8/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 18th Jan 2020

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It’s off to Haydock and Ascot this Saturday for the LIVE ITV action with the Clarence House Chase and Peter Marsh Chase the two big highlights – like all big race days we've got all the big races covered from a trends and stats angle…….use these to help whittle down the final runners and find the best winning profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)


1.50 – bet365 Mares´ Hurdle (Registered As The Warfield Mares´ Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

10/10 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
9/10 – Officially Rated 133 or higher
9/10 – From the top 4 in the betting
9/10 – Won over at least 2m5f (hurdles) previously
8/10 – Later ran in that season’s OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
7/10 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
7/10 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Ran at either Haydock (4) or Newbury (3) in their last race
7/10 – Favourites placed
6/10 – Won their last race
6/10 – Winning Favourites
4/10 – French bred
3/10 – Raced at Ascot previously
3/10 – Aged 6 years-old
2/10 – Trained by Harry Fry
2/10 - Later finished second in the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
1/10 – Won the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) – Vroum Vroum Mag (2016)
Trainer Harry Fry won 2 of the last 5 runnings
Magic Light (15/8 fav) won the race in 2019


2.25 – Matchbook Holloway´s Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV4

10/12 – Aged 7 or younger
9/12 – Priced 5/1 or bigger in the betting
9/12 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
9/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/12 – Officially rated 139 or higher
9/12 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/12 – Ran within in the last 4 weeks
6/12 – French bred
6/12 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/12 – Went onto race in that season’s Coral Cup (best finish 3rd)
6/12 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles in the UK previously
6/12 – Won their last race
6/12 – Aged 6 years-old
5/12 – Had raced at Ascot previously
3/12 – Trained by David Pipe
3/12 – Raced at Cheltenham in their last race
2/12 – Later raced in that season’s World Hurdle (best finish 3rd)
2/12 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/12 – Favourites (1 co)
Ballymoy (4/1) won the race in 2019

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Haydock

3.00 – bet365.com Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV4

13/13 – Won between 1-3 times over fences in the UK previously
11/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
11/13 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
11/13 – Either French (4) or Irish (7) bred
10/13 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
9/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/13 – Officially Rated 130 or higher
8/13 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
9/13 – Aged 8 or younger
6/13 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
7/13 – From the top 3 in the betting
6/13 – Winning distance  - 6 lengths or further
5/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/13 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2) or Chepstow (2) last time out
3/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of last 5 runnings)
2/13 – Trained by Richard Rowe
2/13 – Won their last race
2/13 – Winning Favourites

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Uttoxeter

 

3.35 – Matchbook Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m1f ITV

17/17 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
17/17 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
16/17 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
16/17 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
15/17 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
15/17 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Won by a French-bred horse
12/17 – Won their last race
11/17 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (5 winners)
10/17 – Raced at Sandown (6) or Wetherby (3) last time out
10/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/17 – Favourites that won
8/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
7/17 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/17 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, Sprinter Sacre 2013, 2014 Sire de Grugy, 2015 Dodging Bullets, 2019 Altior)
4/17 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
4/17 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
4/17 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 5 times in all)
2/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
Since 1989 there have only been 3 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (29 runnings) there have been 12 winners aged 8 years-old

The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 10/3

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005 & 2017 – Renewals at Cheltenham

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)


2.05 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

13/13 – Aged 7 or younger
13/13 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
12/13 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Won their last race
7/13 – Aged 5 years-old
7/13 – Winning Favourites
6/13 – Had raced at Haydock previously
4/13 -  Ran at Haydock last time out
3/13 – French bred
3/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/13 – Went onto win the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
2/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/13 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/13 – Trained by Donald McCain Jnr

Note: 2004 Renewal was staged at Wetherby

 

2.40 - Peter Marsh Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

16/16 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
15/16 – Aged 8 or older
15/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
14/16 – Had run within the last 36 days
12/16 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
11/16 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
11/16 – Won at Haydock previously
11/16 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
10/16 – Favourites unplaced
9/16 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
9/16 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
9/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
8/16 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
8/16 – Won over fences at Haydock before
7/16 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
7/16 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
6/16 – Raced in the Rowland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
5/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/16 – Trained by Sue Smith
3/16 – Ridden by Danny Cook
2/16 – Trained by the McCain stable
2/16 – Won their last race
2/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1

 

3.15 – The New One Unibet (Registered as the Champion Hurdle Trial) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/14 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
14/14 – Favourites placed in the top 3
12/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/14 -  From the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Finished in the top three in their last race
11/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle
11/14 – Priced 9/4 or shorter
11/14 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
11/14 – Officially Rated 150 or higher
11/14 – Either French (3) or Irish (8) bred
10/14 – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (6) last time out
8/14 – Aged 7 or younger
8/14 – Winning Favourites
4/14 – Placed in the top 4 in that season’s Champion Hurdle (no winners)
3/14 – Won their last race
1/14 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 11th Jan 2020

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More LIVE ITV racing action this Saturday as the cameras head to Warwick for the Classic Chase, plus they are also at Kempton Park with the Lanzarote Hurdle their main event.

As normal we are on-hand with all the key stats for the LIVE ITV races – hopefully they might help point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Unibet Silviniaco Conti Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Placed 2nd or 3rd last time out
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
5/6 – Had won at least 4 times over fences
5/6 – Winning favourites
5/6 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
3/6 – Had won over fences at the track
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 5/2
Top Notch won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2019, 2017 & 2016
Trainer Alan King won the race in 2015
Trainer Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014
Nicky Henderson has a 37% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track

 

2.40 – Unibet Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

18/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
16/18 – Aged 7 or younger
16/18 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
14/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had won exactly 2 times over hurdles before
13/18 – Had never won a hurdles race over 2m4f or longer before
13/18 – Winning distance 3 lengths or less
13/18 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
12/18 – Irish (7) or French (5) bred
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Carried 10-11 or less
11/18 – Aged 6 years-old
9/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Had run at Kempton before (5 won)
5/18 -  Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Nick Williams
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (38 runnings) 33 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

 

3.15 – Try Unibet New Uniboosts Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

Just 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Had run at the track before
6/7 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
6/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
5/7 – Unplaced last time out
5/7 – Carried 11-0 or more
5/7 – Placed favourites
4/7 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
4/7 - Won between 2-4 times (fences) before
2/7 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 is 9/2
Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014 & 2016

 

Warwick Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)


1.50 – McCoy Contractors 2020 Construction News Award Finalist Hampton Novices´ Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

12/12 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had won between 0-2 times over fences
12/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/12 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
10/12 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences
10/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/12 – Aged 7 years-old
8/12 – Had won over 3m (or further) chase
8/12 – Won last time out
7/12 – Returned 9/4 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Irish bred
2/12 – Trained by Alan King
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 11/4

 

2.25 – Ballymore Leamington Novices´ Hurdle Grade 2 Cl1 2m5f ITV4

13/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
13/13 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
13/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
9/13 – Irish bred
8/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
6/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Aged 5 years-old
2/13 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 5)
2/13 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (No Refuge, 2005 RSA Novices’ Hurdle, The New One, 2013 Neptune)
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 10/3

 

3.00 – McCoy Constructors Civil Engineering Classic Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m5f ITV4

14/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m
11/14 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
11/14 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
10/14 – Officially rated between 129-140
10/14 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
9/14 –  Won by a horse aged 9 or older
9/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
9/14 – Won by an Irish bred horse
8/14 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
8/14 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase, NH Flat) previously
8/14 –  Placed in the top 3 in their last race
7/14 – Favourites placed
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price
6/14 – Had run at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
5/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (One For Arthur won both races in 2017)
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Won their last race
2/14 – Trained by Alan King
Impulsive Star (8/1) won the race in 2019
Milansbar (12/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 11/1

 

3.35 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 3m1f ITV4

14/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
13/14 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles before
12/14 – Carried 11-0 or less
12/14 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/14 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
10/14 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Pertemps Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
11/14 – Had never raced over hurdles at Warwick before
11/14 – Officially rated between 126-142
11/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Placed favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Ran at Bangor last time out
2/14 – Won by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/14 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/14 – Winning favourites
8 of the last 9 winners were aged 8 or younger
4 of the last 6 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 8/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 4th Jan 2020

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Another MASSIVE day for the ITV4 horse racing cameras as they head to Wincanton and Sandown for more LIVE coverage - the first Saturday coverage of 2020!

Like every Saturday we take you through all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and hopefully find a few winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.50 – New Unibet Uniboost Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV4

13/13 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
12/13 – Ran within the last 2 months
12/13 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
11/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/13 – Favourites placed
10/13 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK previously
9/13 – Officially rated 135 or higher
8/13 – Never raced at Sandown
8/13 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/13 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
7/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Winning Favourites
7/13 – Unplaced last time out
4/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/13 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
3/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/13 – Won their last race
Trainer Philip Hobbs has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Darebin won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 8 running is 9/2

 

2.25 – Unibet Tolworth Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV4


14/15 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
14/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
14/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
13/15 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/15 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
12/15 – Came from the top three in the market
11/15 – Won last time out
10/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/15 – Won by an Irish bred horse
8/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
7/15 – Winning Favourites
4/15 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
4/15 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/15 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/15 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
2/15 – Ran at Sandown before
2/15 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
2/15 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Summerville Boy, 2018 & Noland, 2006)
1/15 - Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 21 of the last 27 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1


3.00 - Unibet Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (The Final of The 2015 Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m37y ITV4

Just 4 previous runnings
Trainers Venetia Williams, Evan Williams, Charlie Longsdon and David Pipe are past winners
4/4 – Unplaced last time out
4/4 – Ran in last 4 weeks
4/4 – 4+ wins over fences
3/4 – Unplaced favourites
3/4 – Officially rated between 135-145
3/4 – winners aged 11 or 12 years-old
3/4 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
1/4 – Winning favourite (joint)
Trainer David Pipe has a 29% record with his chasers at the track

3.35 –Read Nico De Boinville’s Unibet Blog Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV4

12/14 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
12/14 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
12/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
10/14 – Unplaced last time out
9/14 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
7/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/14 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
6/14 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
6/14 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
6/14 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
6/14 – From the top 3 in the betting
4/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/14 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/14 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/14 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 6 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 13/2

 

Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

 

2.05 – Watch Racing TV Now Handicap Chase Cl3 2m4f35y ITV4

No previous runnings
Paul Nicholls has a 31% record with his chasers at the track
Evan Williams has 21% record with his chasers at the track

2.40 –  Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5 1/2f ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
Trainers Jonjo O’Neill, Henry Daly and Tom George were previous winners
3/3 – Winners aged between 5-7 years-old
3/3 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
2/3 – Carried 11-10 or more in weight
Trainer Philip Hobbs is just 9 from 89 with his hurdlers at the track

 

3.15 – Join Racing TV Now Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4f ITV4

7/8 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
7/8 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
7/8 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
7/8 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
6/8 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
6/8 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
4/8 – French bred
2/8 – Ran at Exeter last time out
2/8 – Trained by Tom George
1/8 – Winning favourite
1/8 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 7 runs is 9/2

 

 

 

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Cheltenham Trends: 1st Jan 2020

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A massive day of action at Cheltenham this New Year’s Day as we begin 2019 with the ITV cameras taking in four races.

As always, we are on hand with a look at all the televised races from Prestbury Park from a trends angle – use these stats to help find the best winning profile of past winners of the race.

 

Cheltenham Racing Trends

 

1.25 – Paddy Power Broken Resolutions Already Dipper Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f166y ITV

17/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
16/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Went onto run in a Cheltenham Festival race (1 winner)
14/17 – Came from the top three in the betting
14/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/17 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
13/17 – Had won over fences at 2m3f or further before
13/17 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
10/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Irish bred
9/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
7/17 – Returned 5/4 or shorter in the betting
7/17 – Ran at either Sandown or Cheltenham last time out
7/17 – Winning favourites
7/17 – Aged 7 years-old
2/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/17 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
1/17 – Went onto win the Arkle Chase (My Way De Solzen, 2007)

 

2.00 –Paddy Power Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f166y ITV

17/17 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before
16/17 – Raced within the last 2 months
15/17 – Had won at least twice over fences before
15/17 – Either French (6) or Irish (9) bred
14/17 – Had won over 2m4f or further (fences) before
14/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
14/17 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Rated 138 or higher
12/17 – Aged 8 or older
11/17 – Carried 11-0 or less
11/17 – Unplaced last time out
11/17 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
10/17 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
9/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
9/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard
1/17 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
Aso (3/1 fav) won the race in 2019

 

2.35 – Paddy Power 68 Sleeps To Cheltenham Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV

15/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/16 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
13/16 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
12/16 – Had won a hurdles race over at least 2m4f before
11/16 – Had won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
11/16 – Rated 130 or higher
11/16 – Unplaced last time out
10/16 – Carried 10-9 or more
9/16 – Went onto run in a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/16 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
6/16 – French bred
5/16 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
3/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/16 – Won by a mare
1/15 – Went onto win the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season (Big Buck’s, 2009)

 


3.10 – Dornan Engineering Relkeel Hurdle Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

13/15 – Went on run in a race at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
13/15 – Won by either a French (5) or Irish (8) bred
13/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
10/15 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
10/15 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/15 – Went onto run in the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season
6/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
Midnight Shadow (8/1) won the race in 2019

 

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Sat TV Trends: 28th Dec 2019

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The National Hunt action continues this Saturday 30th December – with the ITV cameras at Newbury for a decent card that includes four LIVE races and the Grade One Challow Hurdle.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 – Betway Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

7/7 – French (2) or Irish (5) bred
6/7 – Favourites placed
6/7 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
6/7 – Had won 2 or more times before (hurdles)
5/7 – Had won over the trip (2m4f) before
5/7 – Aged 5 years-old
5/7 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/7 – Had raced at the track before
2/7 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/7 – Ran at Newbury last time out
2/7 – Winning favourites
Brave Eagle (13/2) won the race in 2018

 

2.25 - Betway Mandarin Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-135) 3m2f ITV4

8/8 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
8/8 – Had won over 3m+ (fences) before
7/8 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
6/8 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
6/8 – Aged between 6-9 years-old
6/8 – Had won between 1-2 times before (fences)
6/8 – Unplaced favourites
5/8 – Irish bred
4/8 – Had raced at the track before
2/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Ran at Fontwell last time out
2/8 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
Carole’s Destrier (12/1) won the race in 2018

 

3.00 - Betway Challow Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

13/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
13/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/13 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
12/13 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/13 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Wichita Lineman, 2006)
9/13 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
9/13 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
9/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
7/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Aged 5 years-old
6/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/13 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/13 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob

 

3.35 - Betway Novices' Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+) 2m6½f ITV4

11/11 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
10/11 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
9/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
7/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Venetia Williams

 

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Kempton and Chepstow TV Trends: 27th Dec 2019

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A huge day of National Hunt action on Friday 27th December as the ITV cameras head to Kempton for three races, while they are also at Chepstow to take in the Coral Welsh National.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)


1.55 – Ladbrokes Mares´ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m110y ITV

12/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
10/12 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
9/12 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
8/12 – Favourites that were placed in the top 3
8/12 – Won over 3m previously
6/12 – Won their last race
6/12 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
6/12 – Ran at the track previously
5/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Aged 5 years-old
2/12 – Raced at Newbury last time out

 

2.30 – Ladbrokes Desert Orchid Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

10/12 – Aged 8 or younger
9/12 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
9/12 – Run at the track previously
9/12 – Won 4 (or more) times over fences
9/12 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
9/12 – Winning favourites
9/12 – Officially Rated 160+
7/12 – French bred
7/12 – Ran at Sandown last time out
4/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Trained by Alan King
2/12 - Ridden by Barry Geraghty
Altior (1/8 fav) won the race 12 months ago

 

3.05 – Ladbrokes ' Where The Nation Plays' Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV

12/12 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
11/12 – Priced between 7/2 and 12/1
11/12 – Aged 8 or younger
10/12 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
9/12 – Won between 2-3 (chase) before
7/12 – Favourites Unplaced
5/12 – Officially Rated between 122-129
4/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
4/12 – Ran at Kempton previously
4/12 – Won over 3m (or further) previously
3/12 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
3/12 – Winning favourites (joint)
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

Chepstow Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)


2.50 – Coral Welsh Grand National (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

17/17 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
17/17 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
17/17 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
15/17 – Aged 9 or younger
15/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/17 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
13/17 – Aged 8 or younger
11/17 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
11/17 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
11/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Irish bred
8/17 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
6/17 – Unplaced favourites
6/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – French bred
6/17 – Had run in the Welsh National before
4/17 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 10/1
 

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Sat TV Trends: 21st Dec 2019

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It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.

So, to help you narrow down the fields and hopefully point you in the direction of a winner or two, here at GeeGeez we've got the big-race trends ahead of each race.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)


1.50 – Plymouth Gin Handicap Chase Cl2 2m3f ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
Trainers Paul Nicholls, Ian Williams, Robert Walford and Harry Fry were past winners
No winning favourite in 4 runnings
3 of the last 4 winners carried 10-10 or more
All winners returned between 6/1 and 10/1
All winners aged between 4-7 years-old
Mr Medic won the race in 2017


2.25 – Marsh Hurdle (Registered as The Long Walk Hurdle) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

17/17 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
17/17 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s World Hurdle (6 won, 4 runners-up)
15/17 – Placed in the top three in their last race
14/17 – Favourites placed
14/17 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
12/17 – French-bred horse
12/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
12/17 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
12/17 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
10/17 – Raced at Newbury last time out
10/17 – Won their last race
9/17 – Favourites that won
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/17 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
2/17 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
2/17 – Ridden by jockey Tom Scudamore
Paisley Park won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

Note:
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004  running -Windsor


3.00 – Dave Dawes Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/14 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
9/14 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
9/14 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
8/14 – Won by a French bred horse
8/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/14 – Raced at Ascot previously
7/14 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
7/14 – Favourites placed
6/14 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
5/14 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Ascot (2) last time out
5/14 – Aged 7 years-old
5/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/14 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Trained by Henry Daly
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (last 2 runnings)
2/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty (2 of the last 5)
Regal Encore (20/1) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 10/1
Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

 

3.35 – Betfair Exchange Trophy Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
16/16 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
15/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
13/16 – Had raced within the last 2 months
11/16 – Carried 10-10 or more
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
9/16 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
7/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Winning favourites
Mohaayed won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 12/1

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)


2.40 – Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

12/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/12 – Failed to win their last race
10/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/12 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
8/12 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
8/12 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
7/12 – Favourites placed
6/12 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
3/12 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
3/12 – French bred
3/12 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (all unplaced)
3/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/12 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
7 of the last 11 winners carried 11-0 or more
Daklondike won the race in 2018

 

3.15 – Sir Charles Napier Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m2f191y ITV

12/12 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Aged 7 or younger
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
9/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/12 – Placed favourites
8/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/12 – Had won 1-3 times over hurdles before
7/12 – Ran at either Newbury (2) or Haydock (5) last time out
7/12 – Had raced at Haydock before
6/12 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
5/12 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
5/12 – Winning Favourites
4/12 – French bred
2/12 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
3 of the last 8 runnings were won by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 4/1

 

 

 

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Boxing Day TV Trends: 26th Dec 2019

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A huge day on Boxing Day with eight domestic horse racing fixtures, but the festive highlight, as racing resumes after a two-day break, is the King George VI Meeting at Kempton Park.

The King George VI  Chase is of course the feature race on the day as punters will look to get their Christmas expenses paid for – a race in recent years we’ve seen horse racing greats like Kauto Star, Long Run, Best Mate, Kicking King, One Man and, more recently, Thistlecrack & Might Bite, landing the prize. Did you know - 13 of the last 17 King George winners were aged 8 or younger?

We take a look at each race on the Kempton card, plus the Rowland Meyrick Chase from Wetherby and highlight the main trends – hopefully this will help you narrow down the fields and point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

12:50 – 32Red Casino Mobile Novices' Hurdle Race 2m

12/12 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
11/12 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
10/12 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Had won a NH Flat race before
9/12 – Winning distance 3 lengths or more
7/12 – Won just once over hurdles before
7/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
4/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
Mister Fisher (7/2) won the race 12 months ago

 

1.20 – 32Red.com Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Chase Cl3 2m4f110y ITV

15/15 – Aged 7 or younger
14/15 – Had won between 0-1 times over fences in the UK
13/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/15 – Placed favourites (1 joint)
8/15 – Officially rated between 119 and 125
7/15 – Carried 11-6 or more
6/15 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/15 – Won by a French bred horse
5/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/15 – Raced at Kempton last time out
Glen Forsa (7/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

1.55 – 32RedKauto Star Novices´ Chase (In memory of Nigel Clark) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

16/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Placed in the top two last time out
12/16 – Won last time out
12/16 – French (7) or Irish (5) bred
11/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
11/16 – Aged 6 or younger
11/16 – Had won at least 2 times over fences in the UK
10/16 – Went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (no winners)
10/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Aged 6 years-old
8/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Had won (chase) over at least 3m before
8/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Trained by David Pipe
2/16 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
1/16 – French trained
1/16 – Went onto run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup (One winner - Coneygree 2015)
La Bague Au Roi (8/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

2.30 – Unibet Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

15/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/17 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
14/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Went onto run in the Champion Hurdle (Faughan (2015) & Buveur D’Air (2018) winners)
10/17 – Won last time out
9/17 – Winning favourites
9/17 – Went onto finish in the top 5 in the Champion Hurdle that season
8/17 – Irish trained
8/17 – Ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) last time out
8/17 – Had run over hurdles at Kempton before
6/17 – French bred
6/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/17 – Trained by Noel Meade
2/17 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/17 – Trained by Willie Mullins
Verdana Blue (11/2) won the race 12 months ago

 

3.05 – 32Red King George VI Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

16/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Had won a Grade One chase before
15/17 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/17 – French (11) or Irish bred (4)
14/17 – Placed favourites
14/17 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
13/17 – Officially rated 169 or higher
13/17 – Aged 8 or younger
11/17 – Winning favourites
11/17 – Won last time out
10/17 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
10/17 – Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
9/17 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (10 times in all)
7/17 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/17 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/17 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 3 in the last 33 runnings)
Colin Tizzard and Nicky Henderson have trained 5 of the last 9 winners (2 Tizzard, 3 Henderson)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 4/1

 

15:40 – 32Red Download The App Handicap Hurdle Race 2m5f

 

12/12 – Won no more than 3 times (UK Hurdles)
11/12 – Aged 6 or younger
10/12 – Won between 0-2 times hurdles (UK)
10/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/12 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
8/12 – Officially rated 120-129
8/12 – Ran 5 or less weeks ago
8/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
6/12 – French bred
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Erick Le Rouge (7/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.10- Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m45y ITV

10/11 – Aged 8 or younger
10/11 – Had won 3 or less times over fences (UK)
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
9/11 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
8/11 – Had raced at Wetherby before
7/11 – Unplaced in their last race
7/11 – Had won over 3m (chase) before
6/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Raced at either Haydock (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
2/11– Winning favourites
Lake View Lad won the race 12 months ago

 

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