Stat of the Day, 4th February 2020
Monday's pick was...
6.30 Wolverhampton : Comeatchoo @ 11/4 BOG 2nd at 9/2 (Slowly into stride, held up in mid-division, headway on outside 2f out, chased leaders over 1f out, led and edged left entering final furlong, ran on under pressure, headed last strides)
Tuesday's pick runs in the...
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Who?
Ilhabela Fact @ 11/4 BOG
...in a 7-runner, Class 4, A/W Handicap for 4yo+ over 1m3f on Polytrack worth £6,469 to the winner...
Why?...
This 6 yr old male is one of only two former course and distance winners in today's contest and showed signs of a return to form when a runner-up at this class, track and trip last time out fifteen days ago.
His record here is good, making the frame 8 times (57.1%) from 14 attempts, including four wins (28.6% SR) that have generated 29.22pts profit at an ROI of some 208.7% from which he is...
- 4/11 (36.4%) for 32.22pts (+292.9%) off today's mark of 76 or lower
- 3/7 (42.9%) for 11.41pts (+163%) when sent off at odds ranging from Evens to 8/1
- 2/6 (33.3%) for 10.04pts (+167.4%) at Class 4
- 2/6 (33.3%) for 10.04pts (+167.4%) over course and distance
- 2/3 (66.6%) for 24.18pts (+806%) within 15 days of his last run
- and 2/2 (100%) for 4.22pts (+211%) in February
Jockey Ben Curtis takes the ride for the first time today and Ben is red hot right now, winning on 6 of his 19 (31.6% SR) mounts over the last four days and whilst he rarely rides for trainer Tony Carroll, the pair were 3 from 6 (50% SR) for 10.75pts (+179.1% ROI) together in January, including 2 from 4 (50%) for 8.33pts (+208.2%) on handicaps and 2 from 2 (100%) for 9.67pts (+483.5%) beyond a mile...
...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Ilhabela Fact @ 11/4 BOG as was available from Bet365, BetVictor & Unibet at 8.05am Tuesday morning. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...
...click here for the betting on the 7.30 Kempton
Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!
REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!
Is there a place to see Stat of the Day’s long term record?
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/stat-of-the-day-month-by-month/
THANKS VERY MUCH CHRIS