Stat of the Day, 9th December 2019

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Saturday's pick was...

12.20 Chepstow : Native Robin @ 4/1 5th at 11/2 (Held up and behind, short-lived effort after 11th)

Monday's pick runs in the...

1.15 Musselburgh :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Castletown @ 4/1 BOG

...in an 8-runner, Class 4, Novice Handicap Chase for 4yo+ over 2m4f on currently Good to Soft ground worth £4,289 to the winner

Why?...

This 7 yr old gelding's form over the last 12 months reads 222312 and he was a runner-up over class, course and distance last time out a fortnight ago, headed late on and beaten by just 3 lengths despite coming off the back of a 226-day absence. He should come on for having had that run and going off the same mark today is a bonus.

In those last 6 runs he is...

  • 2222 under jockey Henry Brooke
  • 2312 in handicaps
  • 2232 on Good to Soft
  • 22 at Class 4 (won at Class 3)
  • 22 in December
  • 12 at 2m4.5f
  • and was a runner-up on his only run here at Musselburgh.

He is trained by Pauline Robson who is 27 from 110 (24.6% SR) for 25.5pts (+23.2% ROI) with her NH runners sent off at odds of 6/4 to 7/1 since the start of 2016, including...

  • 22/90 (24.4%) for 20.2pts (+22.4%) in handicaps
  • 22/64 (34.4%) for 47.9pts (+74.9%) at 11-45 dslr
  • 21/79 (26.6%) for 31pts (+39.2%) over trips of 1m7.5f to 2m4.5f
  • 20/69 (29%) for 37.6pts (+54.5%) at 51 to 170 miles from home
  • 19/66 (28.8%) for 24.8pts (+37.6%) with her only runner at the track
  • 18/65 (27.7%) for 18.6pts (+28.6%) with her only runner of the day
  • 7/22 (31.8%) for 13.8pts (+62.6%) with jockey Henry Brooke
  • and 7/17 (41.2%) for 22.3pts (+131.1%) with LTO runners-up

...whilst based around the above categories and applicable today...handicappers racing over 2m to 3m0.5f within 45 days of their last run as Pauline's only runner of the day are 12 from 29 (41.4% SR) for 28.7pts (+99% ROI) within 170 miles of home, from which...

  • Henry Brooke is 5/10 (50%) for 15.74pts (+157.4%)
  • Class 4 runners are 5/10 (50%) for 14.81pts (+148.1%)
  • and LTO runners-up are 3/7 (42.9%) for 7pts (+100%)

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Native Robin @ 4/1 BOG  as was widely available at 5.50pm on Sunday, whilst Hills (non-BOG until raceday) were half a point bigger. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting later...

...click here for the betting on the 1.15 Musselburgh

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 9th December 2019

/by

Saturday's pick was...

12.20 Chepstow : Native Robin @ 4/1 5th at 11/2 (Held up and behind, short-lived effort after 11th)

Monday's pick runs in the...

1.15 Musselburgh :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Castletown @ 4/1 BOG

...in an 8-runner, Class 4, Novice Handicap Chase for 4yo+ over 2m4f on currently Good to Soft ground worth £4,289 to the winner

Why?...

This 7 yr old gelding's form over the last 12 months reads 222312 and he was a runner-up over class, course and distance last time out a fortnight ago, headed late on and beaten by just 3 lengths despite coming off the back of a 226-day absence. He should come on for having had that run and going off the same mark today is a bonus.

In those last 6 runs he is...

  • 2222 under jockey Henry Brooke
  • 2312 in handicaps
  • 2232 on Good to Soft
  • 22 at Class 4 (won at Class 3)
  • 22 in December
  • 12 at 2m4.5f
  • and was a runner-up on his only run here at Musselburgh.

He is trained by Pauline Robson who is 27 from 110 (24.6% SR) for 25.5pts (+23.2% ROI) with her NH runners sent off at odds of 6/4 to 7/1 since the start of 2016, including...

  • 22/90 (24.4%) for 20.2pts (+22.4%) in handicaps
  • 22/64 (34.4%) for 47.9pts (+74.9%) at 11-45 dslr
  • 21/79 (26.6%) for 31pts (+39.2%) over trips of 1m7.5f to 2m4.5f
  • 20/69 (29%) for 37.6pts (+54.5%) at 51 to 170 miles from home
  • 19/66 (28.8%) for 24.8pts (+37.6%) with her only runner at the track
  • 18/65 (27.7%) for 18.6pts (+28.6%) with her only runner of the day
  • 7/22 (31.8%) for 13.8pts (+62.6%) with jockey Henry Brooke
  • and 7/17 (41.2%) for 22.3pts (+131.1%) with LTO runners-up

...whilst based around the above categories and applicable today...handicappers racing over 2m to 3m0.5f within 45 days of their last run as Pauline's only runner of the day are 12 from 29 (41.4% SR) for 28.7pts (+99% ROI) within 170 miles of home, from which...

  • Henry Brooke is 5/10 (50%) for 15.74pts (+157.4%)
  • Class 4 runners are 5/10 (50%) for 14.81pts (+148.1%)
  • and LTO runners-up are 3/7 (42.9%) for 7pts (+100%)

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Native Robin @ 4/1 BOG  as was widely available at 5.50pm on Sunday, whilst Hills (non-BOG until raceday) were half a point bigger. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting later...

...click here for the betting on the 1.15 Musselburgh

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

SotD Update, 2nd to 7th December 2019

/by

The quest for one more profitable month to round of another successful year for SotD kicked off with winners on Monday and Friday for a profit, just shy of 2pts, which is a decent start even if I was ruing the narrow defeat for Rock Sound on Thursday.

Had he managed to get up, we'd have been looking at +6.33pts for the week, basically giving a free hit for the coming week, but I suppose it's a case of taking what you can when you can and moving on.

Selections & Results : 02/12/19 to 07/12/19

02/12 : Arabic Culture @ 5/2 BOG WON at 5/4
03/12 : Uhlan Bute @ 10/3 BOG 4th at 4/1
04/12 : Maazel @ 7/2 BOG 8th at 5/4
05/12 : Rock Sound @ 7/2 2nd at 6/4
06/12 : Johnbb @ 10/3 BOG WON at 6/4
07/12 : Native Robin @ 4/1 5th at 11/2

02/12/19 to 07/12/19 :
2 winning bets from 6 = 33.33% SR
P/L: +1.83pts

December 2019 :
2 winners from 6 = 33.33% SR
P/L: +1.83pts
ROI = +30.50%

2019 to date :
65 winners from 274 = 23.72% SR
P/L: +47.13pts
ROI = +17.20%

Overall:
655 winners from 2450 = 26.73% S.R
P/L: +543.54pts
ROI: +22.19%

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.
Whilst the details for 2013 are now online here.
And the figures for 2014 are now available here.
Our review of 2015 can be found right here
Whilst 2016's details are right here
And here is the full story from 2017.

2018 was the latest full year for SotD and the yearly review is right here

Stat of the Day is just one component of the excellent package available to all Geegeez Gold Members, so why not take the plunge and get involved right now?

Click here for more details.

Stat of the Day, 7th December 2019

/by

Friday's pick was...

1.20 Sandown : Johnbb @ 10/3 BOG WON at 6/4 (Close up, tracked leaders 3 out, ridden to lead on landing last, ran on to win by a 3.25 lengths)

Saturday's pick runs in the...

12.20 Chepstow :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Native Robin @ 4/1

...in a 9-runner, Class 4, Handicap Chase for 4yo+ over 2m3½f on currently Soft ground worth £4,289 to the winner...

Why?...

This 9 yr old gelding is a consistent sort, finishing 123222 in his last six outings and despite not winning any of the last five, he still boasts an impressive 5 wins from 16 over fences, including...

  • 5/13 under today's jockey Nick Scholfield
  • 4/9 at Class 4
  • 4/6 in December/January
  • 3/7 going right handed
  • and 2/3 in December

Aside from the above, this horse's name kept cropping up when I was going through my list of possible qualifiers, so I'm going to keep the separate stats brief.

We'll start by saying that the yard is in good nick too, with 5 winners from 19 in the past fortnight, including 4/12 in the last week, whilst since the start of 2017, Jeremy Scott's handicap jumpers are 23 from 80 (28.75% SR) for 16.84pts (+21% ROI) when sent off shorter than 7/1 on soft/heavy ground.

Whilst since 2014, Jeremy's Class 4 handicap chasers are 40/197 (20.3% SR) for 77.5pts (+39.3% ROI), with Nick Scholfield riding 17 winners from 79 (21.5%), whilst clocking up 38.2pts (+48.4%) profit.

And in that same 2014-19 time frame, Jeremy's sub-12/1 handicap chasers dropping in class are 18/46 (39.1% SR) for 90.6pts (+196.9% ROI) with Nick Scholfield once again being the go-to guy with an 11/24 (45.8%) record producing profits of 69.4pts (+289.3%)

Also, since 2014, when a handicap chaser has been Jeremy Scott's only runner of the day, he's has 24 winners from 123 (19.5% SR) for 79.5pts (+65.2% ROI) profit with lower grade (ie C4/5) runners winning 20 of 86 (23.2%) for 81.3pts (+95.7%).

And finally, I'll wrap this one up with a quick nod to Native Robin's recent form, since in UK Class 3-5 handicap chases since 2012, horses sent off shorter than 5/1 after finishing 222 in their previous three outings are 38 from 110 (34.6% SR) for 35.9pts (+32.6% ROI) when they'd last ran 11-45 days earlier. This includes 10 winners from 18 (55.6%) for 17.42pts (+96.8%) over 2m3.5f/2m4f ...

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Native Robin @ 4/1  as was offered by Hills at 4.50pm on Friday. Hills were the only price available as I went to press, but another 8 firms went on to match that price, including some BOG firms. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting later...

...click here for the betting on the 12.20 Chepstow

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Sat TV Trends: 7th Dec 2019

/by

Another massive Saturday of NH jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Sandown and Aintree, with the Tingle Creek Chase and Becher Chase the feature contests - As always, we’ve got all the big-race trends and stats for all the LIVE races.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


1.50 – Read Road To Cheltenham At racingtv.com Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
15/16 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
15/16 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
14/16 – French (10) or Irish (4) bred
13/16 – Won last time out
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (4) last time out
10/16 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
10/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (2 winners)
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/16 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
2/16 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1

 

2.25 - Jumeirah Hotels And Resorts December Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f216y ITV4

15/16 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
14/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/16 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
13/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
11/16 – Carried 10-13 or less
10/16 – Rated between 116-128
9/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
4/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
9 of the last 10 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
Man Of Plenty (8/1) won this race in 2018

3.00 – Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Aged 9 or younger
15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Had won a Grade One chase before
14/17 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
13/17 – Officially rated 165 or higher
13/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
13/17 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
12/17 – French bred
12/17 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/17 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
10/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
10/17 – Won last time out
9/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
9/17 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
6/17 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Altior, Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
3/17 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
1/17 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

 

3.35 – Betfair London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y ITV4

14/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Aged 7 or older
14/15 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
14/15 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
13/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Rated 126 or higher
12/15 – Aged 8 or older
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Unplaced favourites
10/15 – Irish bred
9/15 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
8/15 – Carried 11-0 or more
5/15 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Towcester (2) last time out
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/15 – Trained by Tom George
1/15 – Winning favourites
Morney Wing (12/1) won this race in 2018

 

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.30 – Randox Health Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

14/17 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
13/17 – Carried 10-12 or less
13/17 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/17 – Had no more than 1 start that season
12/17 – Officially rated between 123-138
12/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/17 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
11/17 – Irish-bred winners
11/17 – Aged 9 or older
11/17 – Had raced at Aintree before
10/17 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/17 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
7/17 – Placed favourites
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Irish-trained winners
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/17 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/17 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Walk In The Mill won the race in 2018
Blaklion won the race in 2017

 

2.05 – Download The App At Virgin Bet Fillies’ Juvenile Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (3Yyo) 2m1f ITV4

Just 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/7 – Won between 0-1 times over hurdles
6/7 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/7 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Winning distance 8 or more lengths
6/7 – Carried 10-12 in weight
4/7 – Winning favourites
3/7 – Irish-trained winners
3/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Trained by Alan King
2/7 – Trained by Gavin Cromwell

 

2.40 – Virgin Bet Price Boasts Many Clouds Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m1f ITV4

Just 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Aged 8 or younger
5/8 – Winning favourites
Definitly Red won the race in 2017 and 2018
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 & 2014
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2011

3.15 – Virgin Bet Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

13/14 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
12/14 – Aged 8 or older
12/14 – Rated 124 or more
11/14 – Had run at Aintree before (4 over the GN style fences)
more
10/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
9/14 – Carried 10-12 or more
9/14 – Irish bred
6/14 – Returned a double-figure price
6/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (5th & 7th)
1/14 – Won last time out
10 of the last 13 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

 

 

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Stat of the Day, 6th December 2019

/by

Thursday's pick was...

6.30 Southwell : Rock Sound @ 7/2 2nd at 6/4 (Pressed leader, led narrowly over 4f out, driven and headed 2f out, soon ridden, kept on and every chance inside final furlong, just held by a neck)

Friday's pick runs in the...

1.20 Sandown :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Johnbb @ 10/3 or 3/1 BOG

...in an 11-runner, Class 3, Handicap Chase for 4yo+ over 1m7½f on currently Good To Soft ground worth £9,384 to the winner...

Why?...

Just the sixth start for this 5 yr old gelding, but he hasn't been out of the first three home yet, including one win. He was third last time out at Aintree, having faded out of contention late on, but that's excusable as it was (a) his chase debut, but jumped well enough, (b) his comeback from 40 weeks off track and (c) over a trip 4.5 furlongs longer than today.

He should come on for trying the fences for a first time and also for having had a run to clear the pipes. Indeed, trainer Tom Lacey's NH handicappers seem to go well after a recent run, as since the start of 2017, those with just one prior run in the previous 90 days have gone on to win 11 of 38 (29% SR) for 37.6pts (+99% ROI) and whilst there are just 38 such runners, I don't think that their success is pure coincidence, when you consider that the following are applicable today...

  • 11/34 (32.4%) for 41.6pts (+122.4%) from 5-8 yr olds
  • 10/25 (40%) for 27.15pts (+108.6%) at 6/4 to 15/2 odds
  • 9/25 (36%) for 21.6pts (+86.5%) from his only runner at that track that day
  • 9/25 (36%) for 20.55pts (+82.2%) at 21-45 dslr
  • 8/15 (53.3%) for 45.4pts (+302.6%) after finishing 2nd or 3rd LTO
  • 7/13 (53.8%) for 43.8pts (+336.8%) on Good to Soft / Soft
  • 5/13 (38.5%) for 24.7pts (+190.2%) dropping in trip
  • 5/15 (33.3%) for 12.3pts (+82%) in November/December
  • 3/5 (60%) for 17.1pts (+342.5%) on Good to Soft
  • 3/5 (60%) for 7.3pts (+146%) in December
  • 3/8 (37.5%) for 6.82pts (+85.2%) were 3rd LTO
  • and 3/10 (30%) for 5.9pts (+59%) at Class 3

Now, I'm not going to combine the above into a composite angle, as I fear it would dilute an already small sample size too much, but I do want to re-visit the third item on that list ie Tom Lacey's only runner at a track, because since the start of 2016, when sending just one out to a track, he is 54/177 (30.5% SR) for 119.7pts (+67.6% ROI) in handicaps contests.

He also sends just one chaser to Exeter today (Kateson in the 1.30), but that's a non-handicap contest, so with today's race in mind, those 177 solo travellers are...

  • 49/128 (38.3%) for 115.7pts (+90.4%) at odds of 5/4 to 8/1
  • 43/136 (31.6%) for 102.8pts (+75.6%) from males
  • 27/72 (37.5%) for 88pts (+122.3%) from 5 yr olds
  • 20/55 (36.4%) for 54pts (+98.2%) in the final quarter of the year
  • 17/53 (32.1%) for 49pts (+92.5%) at Class 3
  • 15/40 (37.5%) for 12.8pts (+32%) from chasers
  • and 9/25 (36%) for 22.05pts (+88.2%) in December...

...whilst 5 yr old males sent off at 5/4 to 8/1 from October to December inclusive are 11 from 17 (64.7% SR) for 32.2pts (+189.6% ROI) including 5 from 8 (62.5%) for 7.93pts (+99.1%) in December...

...pointing to...a 1pt win bet on Johnbb @ 10/3 or 3/1 BOG  as was offered by Bet365 (10/3) and a whole host of others at 3/1 (some BOG, most not until morning) at 5.35pm on Thursday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 1.20 Sandown

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

The Horse Conqueror Review

/by
The Horse Conqueror

The Horse Conqueror

The Horse Conqueror is a daily racing advisory service from the reputable Betting Gods portfolio.

The Full Stats, Based on Every Tip Sent Since March 2019
£1,501.90 Total Profit
£151.20 Avg Monthly Profit
21.19% Win Rate
16.78% ROI
120.96% Bank Growth

All Rule 4 Deductions Applied
Odds Available With 2+ Bookies
Based on £10 Per Point Stakes

Key Facts about The Horse Conqueror

Active Since: March 2019
William started the The Horse Conqueror service in March 2019 and since then has produced £1,501.90 with £10 bets

Proofing Period: 26 weeks
William completed 26 weeks of vetting from 7th March 2019 to 6th September 2019 before going public

Recommended Bookmakers:
William most commonly advises tips with the following bookies: Bet365, BetVictor, Coral, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power

Recommended Starting Bank: 125pts
The Horse Conqueror recommends a 125pts starting bank to keep your money protected. He has grown this by 120.96%!

Tips Sent: Between 7.00pm and 8.30pm
Tips from William are sent Monday to Sunday between 7.00pm and 8.30pm

Tips Per Month: 90 on Average
William sends around 90 bets per month for the horse racing via email, a mobile app and through the members area

Average Odds: 7.77
No favourite chasing here from The Horse Conqueror, just solid horses at solid odds

Profitable Months: 8 out of 10 Months
Based on results back to March 2019, William has ended the month with a profit 80.00% of the time

PAY MONTHLY : £1 for 7 Days, then £29 Per Month

or PAY YEARLY and save 19% : £1 for 7 Days, then £279 Per Year

David Sutton will now report upon this for the next 90 days

Chris Worrall

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The Horse Conqueror Review Results

The Horse Conqueror Day 1, 02/12/19

Wolverhampton - Indomeno @ 10.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 0/1 (0.00% SR) = -£10.00
Current ROI = -100.00% of £10.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 2, 03/12/19

Dundalk - Sayesse @ 15.00 WON
Wolverhampton - Flora Tristan @ 4.50 LOST

Daily Result : 1/2 = +£130.00
Overall : 1/3 (33.33% SR) = +£120.00
Current ROI = +400.00% of £30.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 3, 04/12/19

Lingfield - Baby Steps @ 6.00 LOST
Kempton - Maazel @ 3.75 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 1/5 (20.00% SR) = +£100.00
Current ROI = +200.00% of £50.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 4, 05/12/19

Clonmel - Countess Cathleen @ 4.50 NON RUNNER
Southwell - Sociologist @ 7.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 1/6 (16.67% SR) = +£90.00
Current ROI = +150.00% of £60.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 5, 06/12/19

Newcastle - Big Les @ 9.50 LOST
Dundalk - Innamorare @ 10.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 1/8 (12.50% SR) = +£70.00
Current ROI = +87.50% of £80.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 6, 07/12/19

Wolverhampton - Takeonefortheteam @ 13.00 LOST
Wolverhampton - Contingency Fee @ 6.00 NON RUNNER

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 1/9 (11.11% SR) = +£60.00
Current ROI = +66.67% of £90.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 7, 08/12/19

Huntingdon - Contingency New Agenda @ 26.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 1/10 (11.11% SR) = +£50.00
Current ROI = +50.00% of £100.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 8, 09/12/19

Lingfield - Fizzy Feet @ 4.33 WON
Newcastle - Sulafaat @ 5.50 LOST

Lingfield - Three Little Birds @ 4.00 LOST
Newcastle - Billy Wedge @ 4.00 WON

Daily Result : 2/4 = +£43.33
Overall : 3/14 (21.42% SR) = +£93.33
Current ROI = +66.66% of £140.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 9, 10/12/19

Wolverhampton - Vipin @ 7.00 LOST
Wolverhampton - Battle Of Marathon @ 5.00 LOST
Wolverhampton - Mutabaahy @ 13.00 WON

Daily Result : 1/3 = +£100.00
Overall : 4/17 (23.52% SR) = +£193.33
Current ROI = +113.72% of £170.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 10, 11/12/19

Lingfield - Islay Mist @ 6.00 LOST
Lingfield - Miss Elsa @ 10.00 WON

Chelmsford - Cold Harbour @ 5.00 LOST
Kempton - Brains @ 4.50 LOST

Daily Result : 1/4 = +£70.00
Overall : 5/21 (23.80% SR) = +£263.33
Current ROI = +146.29% of £180.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 11, 12/12/19

Taunton - Hurricane Acadio @ 4.33 NON RUNNER
Chelmsford - Muraaqeb @ 4.50 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 5/22 (22.72% SR) = +£253.33
Current ROI = +133.33% of £190.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 12, 13/12/19

Dundalk - Rosiewood @ 34.00 LOST
Chelmsford - Pike Corner Cross @ 5.50 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 5/24 (20.83% SR) = +£233.33
Current ROI = +110.11% of £210.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 13, 14/12/19

Newcastle - Sharp Suited @ 5.00 WON
Newcastle - Mutabaahy @ 8.00 LOST

Daily Result : 1/2 = +£40.00
Overall : 6/26 (23.07% SR) = +£273.33
Current ROI = +118.84% of £230.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 14, 15/12/19

No bet

Overall : 6/26 (23.07% SR) = +£273.33
Current ROI = +118.84% of £230.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 15, 16/12/19

Wolverhampton - Little India @ 6.50 LOST
Wolverhampton - Sandridge Lad @ 8.50 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 6/28 (21.42% SR) = +£253.33
Current ROI = +101.33% of £250.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 16, 17/12/19

No bet

Overall : 6/28 (21.42% SR) = +£253.33
Current ROI = +101.33% of £250.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 17, 18/12/19

Lingfield - Agent Of Fortune @ 4.50 NON RUNNER
Newcastle - Splendidly @ 6.00 WON

Dundalk - War Hero @ 13.00 LOST
Dundalk - Yamato @ 19.00 LOST

Daily Result : 1/3 = +£40.00
Overall : 7/31 (22.58% SR) = +£293.33
Current ROI = +104.76% of £280.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 18, 19/12/19

Wolverhampton - Brockley Rise @ 7.50 LOST
Wolverhampton - Doctor Jazz @ 6.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 7/33 (21.21% SR) = +£273.33
Current ROI = +91.11% of £300.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 19, 20/12/19

Southwell - Gleeful @ 7.00 LOST
Southwell - Contingency Fee @ 9.00 NON RUNNER

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 7/34 (20.58% SR) = +£263.33
Current ROI = +84.94% of £310.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 20, 21/12/19

Haydock - Bang On @ 5.00 LOST
Newcastle - Keep The River @ 11.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 7/36 (19.44% SR) = +£243.33
Current ROI = +73.73% of £330.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 21, 26/12/19

Wetherby - Theflickeringlight @ 4.33 WON

Daily Result : 1/1 = +£33.33
Overall : 8/37 (21.62% SR) = +£276.66
Current ROI = +81.37% of £340.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 22, 27/12/19

Wolverhampton - Rock Boy Grey @ 8.00 (10p rule 4) WON

Daily Result : 1/1 = +£63.00
Overall : 9/38 (23.68% SR) = +£339.66
Current ROI = +97.04% of £350.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 23, 28/12/19

Lingfield - Lalania @ 6.00 NON RUNNER

Daily Result : 0/0 = +£0.00
Overall : 9/38 (23.68% SR) = +£339.66
Current ROI = +97.04% of £350.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 24, 29/12/19

Kelso - Rintulla @ 5.50 LOST
Limerick - The Ballyboys @ 5.50 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 9/40 (22.50% SR) = +£319.66
Current ROI = +86.39% of £370.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 25, 30/12/19

Lingfield - Shaffire @ 7.00 LOST
Haydock  - Don Juan Gouet @ 15.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 9/42 (21.42% SR) = +£299.66
Current ROI = +76.83% of £390.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 26, 31/12/19

Warwick  - Sandy Boy @ 11.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£20.00
Overall : 9/43 (20.93% SR) = +£289.66
Current ROI = +72.41% of £400.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 27, 01/01/20

Southwell - Forseti @ 4.00 LOST
Exeter - Daytime Ahead @ 41.00 WON
Catterick - Paddling @ 4.00 LOST

Daily Result : 1/3 = +£390.00
Overall : 10/46 (21.73% SR) = +£679.66
Current ROI = +158.06% of £430.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 28, 02/01/20

Lingfield - Pharoh Jake@ 21.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 10/47 (21.27% SR) = +£669.66

Current ROI = +152.19% of £440.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 29, 03/01/20

Wolverhampton - Isabella Ruby @ 11.00 LOST
Wolverhampton - First Response @ 4.00 LOST
Wolverhampton - Broughtons Flare @ 7.00 LOST
Southwell - Dancing Leopard @ 5.50 LOST
Southwell - Going Native @ 7.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/5 = -£50.00
Overall : 10/52 (19.23% SR) = +£619.66

Current ROI = +126.46% of £490.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 30, 04/01/20

Lingfield - First Response @ 7.50 LOST
Newcastle - Whats The Scoop @ 5.00 LOST
Wincanton - Putdecashonthedash @ 11.00 LOST
Lingfield - Awsaaf @ 11.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/5 = -£40.00
Overall : 10/56 (17.85% SR) = +£579.66

Current ROI = +109.36% of £530.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 31, 05/01/20

No selections

Overall : 10/56 (17.85% SR) = +£579.66

Current ROI = +109.36% of £530.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 32, 06/01/20

Wolverhampton - Valley Belle @ 11.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 10/57 (17.54% SR) = +£569.66

Current ROI = +105.49% of £540.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 33, 07/01/20

Lingfield - Kembles Cascade @ 8.00 LOST
Lingfield - Jully Les Buxy @ 13.00 WON
Southwell - Face Like Thunder @ 7.50 LOST

Daily Result : 1/3 = +£110.00
Overall : 11/60 (18.33% SR) = +£689.66

Current ROI = +123.15% of £560.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 34, 08/01/20

Kempton - Collette @ 7.50 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 11/61 (18.03% SR) = +£679.66

Current ROI = +119.23% of £570.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 35, 09/01/20

Chelmsford - Ignatius @ 15.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 11/62 (17.74% SR) = +£669.66

Current ROI = +115.45% of £580.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 36, 10/01/20

Lingfield - Far Rockaway @ 3.50 LOST
Lingfield - Royal Dynasty @ 4.50 NON RUNNER
Wolverhampton - Rockesbury @ 13.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 11/64 (17.18% SR) = +£649.66

Current ROI = +108.27% of £600.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 37, 11/01/20

Lingfield - Marmalade Day @ 7.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 11/65 (16.92% SR) = +£639.66

Current ROI = +104.86% of £610.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 38, 12/01/20

Southwell - Leg It Lenny @ 4.50 LOST
Southwell  - Global Hope @ 4.50 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 11/67 (16.41% SR) = +£619.66

Current ROI = +98.35% of £630.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 39, 13/01/20

Southwell  - Comeatchoo @ 6.00 LOST
Lingfied - Colonel Keating @ 4.50 LOST
Wolverhampton - Klopp @ 12.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/3 = -£30.00
Overall : 11/70 (15.71% SR) = +£589.66

Current ROI = +89.34% of £660.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 40, 14/01/20

Chelmsford - Theydon Spirit @ 10.00 LOST
Chelmsford - Wimpole Street @ 5.50 NON RUNNER

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 11/71 (15.49% SR) = +£569.66

Current ROI = +85.02% of £670.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 41, 15/01/20

Punchestown - Colour Me In @ 13.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 11/72 (15.27% SR) = +£559.66

Current ROI = +82.30% of £680.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 42, 16/01/20

Market Rasen - Ratfacemcdougall @ 11.00 LOST
Newcastle - Bold Suitor @ 5.00 WON

Daily Result : 1/2 = +£40.00
Overall : 12/74 (16.21% SR) = +£599.66

Current ROI = +85.66% of £700.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 43, 17/01/20

Newcastle - Star Talent @ 12.00 LOST
Dundalk - Kinch @ 21.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 12/76 (15.78% SR) = +£579.66

Current ROI = +80.53% of £720.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 44, 18/01/20

Navan - Harrie @ 23.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 12/77 (15.58% SR) = +£569.66

Current ROI = +78.03% of £730.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 45, 19/01/20

Wolverhampton - French Twist @ 7.50 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 12/78 (15.38% SR) = +£559.66

Current ROI = +75.62% of £740.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 46, 20/01/20

Kempton - Bold Decision @ 4.00 LOST
Kempton - River Cam @ 6.00 LOST
Kempton - Percys Prince @ 6.00 LOST
Kempton - Dolly McQueen @ 15.00 LOST

Wolverhampton - Lyford @ 15.00 NON RUNNER

Daily Result : 0/5 = -£50.00
Overall : 12/83 (14.45% SR) = +£509.66

Current ROI = +65.34% of £780.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 47, 21/01/20

Leicester - Cock A Doodle Doo @ 10.00 NON RUNNER
Newcastle - Red Jasper @ 7.50 LOST
Newcastle - Atwaar @ 8.50 WON (11.00)

Daily Result : 1/2 = +£90.00
Overall : 13/85 (15.29% SR) = +£599.66

Current ROI = +74.95% of £800.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 48, 22/01/20

Lingfield - Diamonique @ 7.00 LOST
Kempton - Satchville Flyer @ 13.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 13/87 (14.94% SR) = +£579.66

Current ROI = +70.69% of £820.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 49, 23/01/20

Southwell - Forseti @ 4.33 WON (5.50)

Daily Result : 1/1 = +£45.00
Overall : 14/88 (15.90% SR) = +£624.66

Current ROI = +75.26% of £830.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 50, 24/01/20

Lingfield - Illustrious Spirit @ 15.00 NON RUNNER
Lingfield - Bustaan @ 5.00 LOST
Wolverhampton - Our Man In Havana @ 10.00 LOST
Wolverhampton - Optima Petamus @ 12.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/3 = -£30.00
Overall : 14/91 (15.38% SR) = +£594.66

Current ROI = +76.23% of £780.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 51, 25/01/20

Fairyhouse - Walk Away @ 13.00 LOST
Lingfield - Golden Fountain @ 5.50 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 14/93 (15.05% SR) = +£574.66

Current ROI = +71.83% of £800.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 52, 26/01/20

Naas - Mister Eddman @ 5.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 14/94 (14.89% SR) = +£564.66

Current ROI = +69.71% of £810.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 53, 27/01/20

Wolverhampton - Born To Reason @ 7.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 14/95 (14.73% SR) = +£554.66

Current ROI = +67.64% of £820.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 54, 28/01/20

Lingfield - Finnegans Garden @ 7.00 NON RUNNER

Overall : 14/95 (14.73% SR) = +£554.66

Current ROI = +67.64% of £820.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 55, 29/01/20

Leicester - Sabbithical @ 6.00 WON
Kempton - Pride Of Angels @ 6.50 LOST

Daily Result : 1/2 = +£40.00
Overall : 15/97 (15.46% SR) = +£594.66

Current ROI = +70.79% of £840.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 56, 30/01/20

Southwell - Hey Ho Lets Go @ 7.00 LOST
Wincanton - Mystic Dreamer @ 5.50 LOST
Southwell - Triple Spear @ 8.00 WON
Wincanton - Danse Idol @ 7.50 LOST

Daily Result : 1/4 = +£50.00
Overall : 16/101 (15.84% SR) = +£644.66

Current ROI = +73.25% of £880.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 57, 31/01/20

Catterick - Russian Royale @ 11.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 16/102 (15.68% SR) = +£634.66

Current ROI = +71.31% of £890.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 58, 01/02/20

No bet today

Overall : 16/102 (15.68% SR) = +£634.66

Current ROI = +71.31% of £890.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 59, 02/02/20

Taunton - Tactical Manoeuvre @ 5.50 WON

Daily Result : 1/1 = +£45.00
Overall : 17/103 (16.50% SR) = +£679.66

Current ROI = +75.51% of £900.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 60, 03/02/20

No bet today

Overall : 17/103 (16.50% SR) = +£679.66

Current ROI = +75.51% of £900.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 61, 04/02/20

Kempton - A Go Go @ 7.00 LOST
Kempton - Kamra @ 5.50 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 17/105 (16.19% SR) = +£659.66

Current ROI = +71.70% of £920.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 62, 05/02/20

Wolverhampton - Kybosh @ 8.00 LOST
Wolverhampton - Red Gunner @ 9.00 NON RUNNER
Wolverhampton - Isobar Wind @ 11.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 17/107 (15.88% SR) = +£639.66

Current ROI = +68.04% of £940.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 63, 06/02/20

Chelmsford - Madeeh @ 21.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 17/108 (15.74% SR) = +£629.66

Current ROI = +66.28% of £950.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 64, 07/02/20

No bet today

Overall : 17/108 (15.74% SR) = +£629.66

Current ROI = +66.28% of £950.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 65, 08/02/20

Lingfield - Fire Fighting @ 7.00 LOST
Wolverhampton - Decoration Of War @ 6.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 17/110 (15.45% SR) = +£609.66

Current ROI = +63.50% of £960.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 66, 09/02/20

No bet today

Overall : 17/110 (15.45% SR) = +£609.66

Current ROI = +63.50% of £960.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 67, 10/02/20

Wolverhampton - Thawry @ 7.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 17/111 (15.31% SR) = +£599.66

Current ROI = +61.82% of £970.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 68, 11/02/20

Chelmsford - Double Martini @ 7.50 WON (5.00 after R4)
Chelmsford - Contingency Fee @ 12.00 LOST

Daily Result : 1/2 = +£30.00
Overall : 18/113 (15.92% SR) = +£629.66

Current ROI = +63.60% of £990.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 69, 12/02/20

Kempton - Para Mio @ 8.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 18/114 (15.78% SR) = +£619.66

Current ROI = +61.96% of £1000.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 70, 13/02/20

Chelmsford - The British Lion @ 4.33 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 18/115 (15.65% SR) = +£609.66

Current ROI = +60.36% of £1010.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 71, 14/02/20

Southwell - Proxy @ 23.00 LOST
Dundalk - Santorini Sun @ 23.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 18/117 (15.38% SR) = +£589.66

Current ROI = +57.24% of £1030.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 72, 15/02/20

Lingfield - Bad Attitude @ 7.00 LOST
Newcastle - Deolali @ 13.00 WON
Newcastle - Tathmeen @ 6.50 LOST

Daily Result : 1/3 = +£100.00
Overall : 19/120 (15.83% SR) = +£689.66

Current ROI = +65.06% of £1060.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 73, 16/02/20

No bet today

Overall : 19/120 (15.83% SR) = +£689.66

Current ROI = +65.06% of £1060.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 74, 17/02/20

Lingfield - Huddle @ 7.00 NON RUNNER
Kempton - Kodiline @ 11.00 LOST
Kempton - Gold Brocade @ 7.50 LOST
Kempton - Agent of Fortune @ 5.00 WON (8.00)

Daily Result : 1/3 = +£50.00
Overall : 20/123 (16.26% SR) = +£739.66

Current ROI = +67.85% of £1090.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 75, 18/02/20

No bet today

Overall : 20/123 (16.26% SR) = +£739.66

Current ROI = +67.85% of £1090.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 76, 19/02/20

Newcastle - Tigray @ 5.50 LOST
Kempton - Agent of Fortune @ 4.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 20/125 (16.00% SR) = +£719.66

Current ROI = +64.83% of £1110.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 77, 20/02/20

Southwell - Bobby Joe Leg @ 6.50 LOST
Southwell - Pumblechook @ 4.50 NON RUNNER
Chelmsford - Venture @ 11.00 LOST
Chelmsford - Crazy Spin @ 10.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/3 = -£30.00
Overall : 20/128 (15.62% SR) = +£689.66

Current ROI = +60.49% of £1140.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 78, 21/02/20

Exeter - Flowing Cadenza @ 6.00 LOST
Dundalk - Theoneyouare @ 15.00 NON RUNNER

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 20/129 (15.50% SR) = +£679.66

Current ROI = +59.10% of £1150.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 79, 22/02/20

Chelmsford - Casaruan @ 13.00 WINNER

Daily Result : 1/1 = +£120.00
Overall : 21/130 (16.15% SR) = +£799.66

Current ROI = +68.93% of £1160.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 80, 23/02/20

No bet today

Overall : 21/130 (16.15% SR) = +£799.66

Current ROI = +68.93% of £1160.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 81, 24/02/20

Southwell - Elhafei @ 6.50 LOST
Wolverhampton - Cheeky Rascal @ 21.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 20/132 (15.15% SR) = +£779.66

Current ROI = +66.07% of £1180.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 82, 25/02/20

No bet today

Overall : 20/132 (15.15% SR) = +£779.66

Current ROI = +66.07% of £1180.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 83, 26/02/20

Southwell - Twpsyn @ 8.00 LOST
Kempton - Englishman @ 8.00 WON
Kempton - Muraaqeb @ 17.00 LOST

Daily Result : 1/3 = +£50.00
Overall : 21/135 (15.55% SR) = +£829.66

Current ROI = +68.56% of £1210.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 84, 27/02/20

Chelmsford - Life Knowledge @ 8.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 21/136 (15.44% SR) = +£819.66

Current ROI = +67.18% of £1220.00 staked

---------------------------------------------------------------------

The Horse Conqueror Day 85, 28/02/20

Newcastle - Poppy May @ 9.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 21/137 (15.32% SR) = +£809.66

Current ROI = +65.82% of £1230.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 86, 29/02/20

Lingfield - Oh Purple Reign @ 13.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 21/138 (15.21% SR) = +£799.66

Current ROI = +64.48% of £1240.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 87, 01/03/20

Sedgefield - Katy Royal @ 34.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/1 = -£10.00
Overall : 21/139 (15.10% SR) = +£789.66

Current ROI = +63.17% of £1250.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 88, 02/03/20

Leopardstown - Bridge Native @ 6.50 LOST
Wolverhampton - Decoration Of War @ 8.50 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 21/141 (14.89% SR) = +£769.66

Current ROI = +60.60% of £1270.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 89, 03/03/20

Southwell - Youre Cool @ 10.00 LOST
Southwell - Motawaafeq @ 6.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 21/143 (14.68% SR) = +£749.66

Current ROI = +58.11% of £1290.00 staked

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The Horse Conqueror Day 90, 04/03/20

Catterick - Ringaringarosie @ 8.00 LOST
Kempton - Hey Ho Lets Go @ 13.00 LOST

Daily Result : 0/2 = -£20.00
Overall : 21/145 (14.48% SR) = +£729.66

Current ROI = +55.69% of £1310.00 staked

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Stat of the Day, 5th December 2019

/by

Wednesday's pick was...

3.40 Kempton : Maazel @ 7/2 BOG 8th at 5/4 (Towards rear, headway 2f out, driven to chase leaders when not clear run over 1f out, unable to challenge, no impression inside final furlong)

Thursday's pick runs in the...

6.30 Southwell :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Rock Sound @ 10/3

...in a 13-runner, Class 4, A/W handicap for 3yo+ over 6f on Fibresand worth £5,208 to the winner...

Why?...

This lightly raced 4 yr old gelding makes just his seventh start today, but has won 2 of his previous six, including last time out a month ago over course and distance in another big field (14 ran) hcp, which was his first run in the UK, first run on an artificial surface and also his yard debut for Declan Carroll, whose runners are 4 from 18 (22.2% SR) for 9.5pts (+52.7% ROI) on the A/W over the last 30 days, including 4 from 10 (40%) for 17.5pts (+175%) here at Southwell.

Included amongst that recent run of good form at this venue are the following of relevance today...

  • 4/5 (80%) for 22.5pts (+450%) from males
  • 4/5 (80%) for 22.5pts (+450%) at sub-12/1 odds
  • 3/8 (37.5%) for 18.22pts (+227.7%) in handicaps
  • and 3/4 (75%) for 22.22pts (+555.5%) on 13/14 runner contests...

...whilst sub-12/1 male handicappers are 3 from 3 9100% SR) for 23.22pts (+773.9% ROI) in 13/14 runner fields...

And this recent run isn't a flash in the pan either, as Declan's runners have fared well here at Southwell for a number of years now, clocking up 21 wins from 112 (18.75% SR) in handicaps since the start of 2016, generating 40.6pts profit at a healthy 36.2% return, including of note here...

  • 21/105 (20%) for 47.6pts (+45.3%) at trips of 5f to 1m
  • 19/100 (19%) for 39.6pts (+39.6%) in fields of 8-14 runners
  • 18/64 (28.1%) for 38.9pts (+60.8%) at odds of 8/1 and shorter
  • 17/82 (20.7%) for 41.3pts (+50.4%) at the same trip or dropped 1f from LTO
  • 13/63 (20.6%) for 41.8pts (+66.3%) during the 3 months from November to January...

...whilst if you wanted to secure almost 80% of the original profit from just 37.5% of the original bets, then sub-17/2 runners over 5f to 1m in 8-14 runner contests as the same trip or down 1f from LTO are 13/42 (31% SR) for 32.4pts (+77.7% ROI), with those racing during November & December winning 6 of 18 (33.3%) for 14.94pts (+83%) and this fairly simple approach...

...provides us with...a 1pt win bet on Rock Sound @ 10/3 as was offered by BetVictor & Hills at 5.50pm on Wednesday, although they sadly don't go BOG until racedays. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 6.30 Southwell

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 4th December 2019

/by

Tuesday's pick was...

3.15 Lingfield : Uhlan Bute @ 10/3 BOG 4th at 4/1 (Led until 5th, lost place 5 out, well beaten before 3 out )

Wednesday's pick runs in the...

3.40 Kempton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Maazel @ 7/2 or 3/1 BOG

...in a 12-runner, Class 6, A/W handicap for 3yo+ over 7f on Polytrack worth £3,105 to the winner...

Why?...

This 5 yr old gelding was a runner-up at Lingfield just 4 days ago and gets the opportunity to go one better off the same mark today. He had the worst of the draw at the weekend, but has a more favourable stall today and is expected to go well again.

Trainer Lee Carter's horses are in great form, all eight runners over the last fortnight have made the frame, with two of them taking Gold, including a win and a place from two efforts here at Kempton.

His record with quick returners is decent, especially in similar circumstances to today, as...

...since the start of 2016, Lee Carter's Class 6 A/W handicappers sent off at odds ranging from Evens to 16/1 after less than three weeks rest are 11 from 49 (22.5% SR) for 77.5pts (+158.1% ROI) and these include of relevance today...

  • 10/38 (26.3%) for 76.3pts (+200.8%) from male runners
  • 10/30 (33.3%) for 84.3pts (+281.1%) from 5-9 yr olds

...whilst 5-9 yr old males are 10 from 28 (35.7% SR) for 86.3pts (+308.3% ROI) and you could stop there and back all of them, but if you wanted to drill down further...

  • 5 yr olds are 5/12 (41.7%) for 41.7pts (+347.7%)
  • LTO runners-up are 5/8 (62.5%) for 47.4pts (+592.4%)
  • over 7f, it's 3/9 (33.3%) for 33.8pts (+375.3%)
  • 5 yr olds are 3/6 (50%) for 36.8pts (+613%) over 7 furlongs
  • LTO runners-up are 3/5 (60%) for 37.8pts (+756%) over 7f
  • 5yr olds are 3/4 (75%) for 38.8pts (+970%) after finishing second LTO
  • and 5yr old, LTO runners-up are also 3/4 (75%) for 38.8pts (+970%) over a 7f trip...

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Maazel @ 7/2 or 3/1 BOG as was offered by Bet365 and SkyBet respectively at 5.40pm on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 3.40 Kempton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

SotD Update, 25th to 30th November 2019

/by

The last week of the month was as frustrating as the one that preceded it, I'm afraid. Just the one winner late in the week to ensure no wipeout, but it did serve to minimise losses, I suppose.

Once again, I was left wondering "what if" with another couple of nicely-priced (11/4 & 6/1 this week) runners-up that would have given us a great boost, but to bounce back from October's debacle with a strike rate North of 30% and almost 15pts profit means November was still a really good month.

I'd still love to claw the remainder of October's deficit back before the end of the year, but it's tough going at this time of year and we've fewer picks to go at, but I'll not go down without a fight! Are you with me?

Selections & Results : 25/11/19 to 30/11/19

25/11 : Doctor Dex @ 11/4 BOG 2nd at 13/8
26/11 : Tonto's Spirit @ 7/2 2nd at 6/1
27/11 : Stringybark Creek @ 15/2 BOG 5th at 8/1
28/11 : Colonel Whitehead @ 9/2 BOG 10th at 11/8
29/11 : Queen Of Kalahari @ 11/4 BOG WON at 11/4
30/11 : Pearl Spectre @ 11/4 BOG 4th at 9/4

25/11/19 to 30/11/19 :
1 winning bet from 6 = 16.66% SR
P/L: -2.25pts

November 2019 :
8 winners from 26 = 30.77% SR
P/L: +14.55pts
ROI = +55.96%

2019 to date :
63 winners from 268 = 23.51% SR
P/L: +45.30pts
ROI = +16.90%

Overall:
653 winners from 2444 = 26.72% S.R
P/L: +541.71pts
ROI: +22.16%

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.
Whilst the details for 2013 are now online here.
And the figures for 2014 are now available here.
Our review of 2015 can be found right here
Whilst 2016's details are right here
And here is the full story from 2017.

2018 was the latest full year for SotD and the yearly review is right here

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